Aluminium Arak - Malavan prediction 8 October 2026

Our Aluminium Arak vs Malavan prediction for the Pro League match on Oct 8, 2026, gives the hosts a 45% chance of winning. Aluminium Arak enters this fixture unbeaten in the league and sitting 4th in the table, while Malavan has been inconsistent and finds themselves in 12th place. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Team Form

Aluminium Arak is unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Their most recent results: a 0-0 home draw against Esteghlal Tehran, a 2-0 away win at Gol Gohar, a 2-2 home draw with Kheybar Khorramabad, a 2-1 away win against Shams Azar Qazvin, and a 0-0 home draw with Chador Malu Yazd. The team has been solid defensively, conceding only three goals in six league games.

Malavan’s form is more erratic, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. They beat Mes Shahre Babak 2-1 away, lost 0-1 at home to Nassaji Mazandaran, suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat at Persepolis, lost 0-1 at home to Fajr Sepasi, and edged Zob Ahan 2-1 at home. The away side has struggled for consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced: 5 wins for Aluminium Arak, 5 draws, and 5 wins for Malavan. However, recent meetings have been dominated by stalemates. Four of the last five encounters ended in draws, including a 1-1 result in May 2025 and three consecutive 1-1 draws before that. The only exception was a 1-0 away win for Malavan in December 2025. This history suggests another tight contest.

League Table Positions

Aluminium Arak is 4th in the Pro League with 12 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 8 goals and conceded only 3. Malavan sits 12th with 7 points from 6 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 5 and conceding 8. The home side’s strong overall record contrasts with their home form: all three home games this season have ended in draws. Malavan’s away record includes one win and one loss in their last two road trips.

Win Probability: Aluminium Arak or Malavan?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Aluminium Arak has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Malavan has a 25% chance. The hosts’ unbeaten league run and higher table position make them favorites, but their tendency to draw at home (three draws in three home matches) lowers the probability of a straightforward win. Malavan’s inconsistency and poor defensive record away from home reduce their chances, though the head-to-head history shows they can snatch a result. The most likely outcome is a narrow home victory or another draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this match are not currently available. Based purely on the stats, our Aluminium Arak vs Malavan prediction leans towards a home win, with a draw as a strong secondary possibility. Aluminium Arak’s defensive solidity and unbeaten status give them the edge, but Malavan’s ability to grind out results in this fixture cannot be ignored. A 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline appears realistic.