Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns prediction 13 October 2026

South Africa ยท Premier LeagueFinished
Match Info
CompetitionPremier League ยท South Africa
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeMoreki Lekwape
Recent Form
Richards Bay
L
L
L
L
D
Mamelodi Sundowns
D
W
D
W
W
Recent matches ยท Richards Bay
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
14
L
Premier League
Richards Bay
Sekhukhune United
23
L
Premier League
Milford
Richards Bay
51
L
Premier League
Richards Bay
AmaZulu
12
L
Premier League
Richards Bay
Kaizer Chiefs
22
D
Premier League
Durban City FC 2024
Richards Bay
11
D
Premier League
Chippa United
Richards Bay
11
D
Premier League
Richards Bay
Polokwane City
12
L
Friendly Clubs
Milford
Richards Bay
21
L
Friendly Clubs
Durban City FC 2024
Richards Bay
11
D
Premier League
Magesi
Richards Bay
10
L
Premier League
Richards Bay
Sekhukhune United
11
D
Premier League
Marumo Gallants
Richards Bay
11
D
Premier League
Richards Bay
Polokwane City
00
D
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
00
D
Recent matches ยท Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
Wiliete SC
Mamelodi Sundowns
00
D
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
14
W
Premier League
Chippa United
Mamelodi Sundowns
11
D
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Siwelele FC
30
W
Premier League
Lamontville Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns
12
W
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Milford
20
W
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
AmaZulu
52
W
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Marumo Gallants
20
W
Premier League
Kaizer Chiefs
Mamelodi Sundowns
11
D
Premier League
TS Galaxy FC
Mamelodi Sundowns
23
W
Friendly Clubs
Mamelodi Sundowns
MC Alger
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Al Hilal Riyadh
Mamelodi Sundowns
20
L
Friendly Clubs
Hertha Berlin
Mamelodi Sundowns
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Red Bull Salzburg
Mamelodi Sundowns
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Mamelodi Sundowns
RB Leipzig
31
W
Lineups
Richards Bay4-1-4-1
  • 1Ian Aubrey OtienoG
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 22L. MabuyaD
  • 12S. GumbiM
  • 19S. NzamaM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 27N. XuluF
  • 37S. GweleD
Substitutes
  • 5T. Sikhakhane
  • 47S. Khumalo
  • 33W. Ngema
  • 14L. Mahala
  • 35T. Ndelu
  • 31O. Mbambo
  • 16Nhlakanipho Ngcobo
Mamelodi Sundowns4-2-3-1
  • 13I. RaynersF
  • 30R. WilliamsG
  • 4T. MokoenaM
  • 22T. MatuludiD
  • 11M. AllendeM
  • 33C. MailulaM
  • 38S. MthantiM
  • 3K. NdamaneD
  • 42Malibongwe KhozaD
  • 17T. MatthewsM
  • 23F. BasadienD
Substitutes
  • 12B. Leรณn
  • 5D. Lunga
  • 29A. Van Wyk
  • 18T. Zwane
  • 10Nuno Santos
  • 19T. Cele
  • 27T. Morena
  • 31R. Goss
  • 40M. Mvala
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Richards Bay
1
Draws
8
Mamelodi Sundowns
Previous meetings
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
14
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
00
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Richards Bay
41
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Richards Bay
30
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
02
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
01
Premier League
Mamelodi Sundowns
Richards Bay
10
FA Cup
Mamelodi Sundowns
Richards Bay
32
Premier League
Richards Bay
Mamelodi Sundowns
02
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns972023:8+1523
2Orlando Pirates871019:1+1822
3AmaZulu861112:8+419
4Milford943210:7+315
5Kaizer Chiefs835013:8+514
6Sekhukhune United84229:8+114
7Stellenbosch82429:8+110
8Lamontville Golden Arrows81523:4-18
9Chippa United81524:7-38
10Durban City FC 202481435:7-27
11Polokwane City81438:11-37
12Kruger United82154:12-87
13TS Galaxy FC81347:12-56
14Siwelele FC81347:13-66
15Richards Bay803510:20-103
16Marumo Gallants80266:15-92
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction (Oct 13)

The Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction for October 13, 2026, points to a clear away favorite in this Premier League clash. Based on the available data, Mamelodi Sundowns has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Richards Bay has a 15% chance. The match kicks off at 18:30 local time.

Team Form

Richards Bay's recent form is poor, with their last five results reading L, L, L, D, D. They have lost three of their last five matches, including a 2-3 home defeat to Sekhukhune United and a heavy 1-5 away loss to Milford. Mamelodi Sundowns, in contrast, are in strong form with results of D, W, W, W, W. Their only recent slip was a 1-1 draw away at Chippa United, but they have otherwise been dominant, scoring 13 goals in their last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Mamelodi Sundowns. In their last 8 meetings, Sundowns have won 7, with 1 draw. Richards Bay have never beaten Sundowns. The most recent encounter on April 26, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw, but prior to that, Sundowns won 4-1, 3-0, 2-0, and 1-0, showcasing consistent dominance.

League Table Positions

Mamelodi Sundowns sit top of the Premier League table with 20 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 19 goals and conceded only 7. Richards Bay are not in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a significant gap in quality and points between the two sides. Sundowns' away record is also strong, with 2 wins and 2 draws from 4 matches.

Win Probability: Richards Bay or Mamelodi Sundowns?

Mamelodi Sundowns has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Richards Bay has a 15% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Sundowns' superior form, dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in 8 matches), and top position in the league table. Richards Bay's poor recent results and low standing further reduce their chances. Sundowns are the clear favorites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Mamelodi Sundowns as the strong favorite. The available 1X2 odds show away win odds ranging from 1.31 to 1.70, while a home win for Richards Bay is priced as high as 9.00 to 12.11. The draw is offered between 2.30 and 5.35. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head record, the most likely outcome is an away win for Mamelodi Sundowns.

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns โ€” FAQ

Who will win Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns are the strong favorites to win. They have a 65% win probability, while Richards Bay have just a 15% chance, with the draw at 20%. Sundowns' dominant head-to-head record and top league position support this prediction.
What is the win probability for Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns have a 65% chance of winning this match. This high probability is based on their excellent form, 7 wins in 8 head-to-head matches against Richards Bay, and their position at the top of the Premier League table.
When is the Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns match?
The match is scheduled for October 13, 2026, with a kick-off time of 18:30 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in South Africa.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds heavily favor an away win for Mamelodi Sundowns, with prices ranging from 1.31 to 1.70. A home win for Richards Bay is priced between 9.00 and 12.11, and the draw is available at odds between 2.30 and 5.35.
Richards Bay โ€“ Mamelodi Sundowns ยท match page