Atletico Madrid - Manchester United prediction 13 October 2026
Atletico Madrid
Manchester UnitedAtletico Madrid
Deportivo La CorunaVfB StuttgartAtletico MadridEspanyolAtletico MadridAtletico MadridManchester UnitedAlavesAtletico MadridAtletico MadridReal MadridAtletico MadridOsasunaReal SociedadAtletico MadridLiverpoolAtletico MadridAthletic BilbaoAtletico MadridSevillaAtletico MadridAtletico MadridVillarrealAtletico MadridMalagaMarseilleAtletico MadridManchester CityAtletico MadridManchester UnitedBournemouthComo 1907Manchester UnitedLeeds UnitedManchester UnitedAtletico MadridManchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurFulhamManchester UnitedManchester UnitedBrightonManchester UnitedManchester CityManchester UnitedSabah Baku FCEvertonManchester UnitedManchester UnitedIpswich TownHull CityManchester UnitedAC MilanManchester UnitedManchester UnitedLeeds UnitedPSGManchester United- 5J. CardosoM
- 10รlex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 17D. HanckoD
- 21C. RomeroD
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 22รlex GrimaldoD
- 19J. รlvarezF
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 7Lee Kang-InF
- 16Arnau Ortiz
- 11A. Lookman
- 1J. Musso
- 18Marc Pubill
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
- 30Dani Martรยญnez
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 46J. Castillo
- 27J. Dominguez
- 23M. Hjulmand
- 15J. David
- 9A. Sรธrloth
- 8Bruno FernandesM
- 1S. LammensG
- 19B. MbeumoF
- 6Lisandro MartรญnezD
- 18Y. TielemansM
- 17Andrey SantosM
- 15L. YoroD
- 20C. BalebaM
- 26A. HeavenD
- 2Diogo DalotD
- 9M. RashfordM
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 16A. Diallo
- 12K. Darlow
- 7M. Mount
- 45Dermot William Mee
- 5H. Maguire
- 41H. Amass
- 57Daniel Armer
- 4M. de Ligt
- 39T. Fletcher
- 31S. Lacey
- 11J. Zirkzee
- 1'EventPablo Barrios
Atletico MadridManchester UnitedManchester UnitedAtletico MadridManchester UnitedAtletico MadridAtletico MadridManchester United| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Arsenal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 |  Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 28 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |  LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  LOSC Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction (Oct 13, 2026)
The Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction for this UEFA Champions League match on Oct 13, 2026, points to a home win. Atletico Madrid enters the contest as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Manchester United has a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%. Read on for our betting tips, odds, and head-to-head analysis.
Team Form
Atletico Madrid's last five results:
- Sep 20: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (W)
- Sep 16: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Osasuna (W)
- Sep 13: Real Sociedad 0-3 Atletico Madrid (W)
- Sep 9: Liverpool 2-1 Atletico Madrid (L)
- Sep 5: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico Madrid (L)
Manchester United's last five results:
- Sep 20: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United (D)
- Sep 16: Manchester United 2-3 Brighton (L)
- Sep 13: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (L)
- Sep 10: Manchester United 4-0 Sabah Baku FC (W)
- Sep 6: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D)
Atletico have been strong at home, winning their last two at the Metropolitano, while Manchester United have struggled on the road, failing to win any of their last three away games (D-L-D).
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly split after three meetings:
- Aug 1, 2026 (Friendly): Manchester United 2-1 Atletico Madrid
- Mar 15, 2022 (UCL): Manchester United 0-1 Atletico Madrid
- Feb 23, 2022 (UCL): Atletico Madrid 1-1 Manchester United
Overall, each team has one win and one draw, with the most recent competitive fixture going Atletico's way.
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction: Win Probability & Odds
Win Probability
We started with the average bookmaker odds (home 2.27, draw 2.93, away 2.95), which after removing the margin give implied probabilities of 39.3%, 30.5%, and 30.2% respectively. We then adjusted these figures to account for Atleticoโs superior recent form (three wins in five vs one win for United) and home advantage, resulting in a 45% chance for a home win, 30% for the draw, and 25% for an away win.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest odds from bookmakers show Atletico Madrid as the favorite, with home win odds ranging from 2.00 to 2.45. The draw is priced between 2.35 and 4.00, while an away win for Manchester United is available at 2.62 to 3.15. The market overround is approximately 12%, indicating a competitive match. Based on the stats, our prediction is a narrow win for Atletico Madrid, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the even head-to-head record.
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United โ FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?
- Based on our analysis, Atletico Madrid has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is 30%, and Manchester United has a 25% chance. Atleticoโs superior form and home advantage make them the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Atletico Madrid?
- Atletico Madrid has a 45% probability of winning this match. This is derived from the average bookmaker odds, adjusted for their recent strong form (three wins in five) and the fact they are playing at home.
- When is the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, at 20:00 local time (UTC+1). It is a UEFA Champions League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer home win odds between 2.00 and 2.45, draw odds from 2.35 to 4.00, and away win odds from 2.62 to 3.15. The average odds imply a close game with Atletico as slight favorites.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United?
- In three previous meetings, each team has won once and one match ended in a draw. The most recent was a friendly on Aug 1, 2026, which Manchester United won 2-1.