Mushuc Runa - Manta FC prediction 3 November 2026
Mushuc Runa
Manta FC
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc RunaMushuc RunaOrense SCDelfin SCMushuc RunaDeportivo CuencaMushuc RunaGuayaquil CityMushuc RunaMushuc RunaLeones Del NorteLDU QuitoMushuc RunaMushuc RunaDelfin SCDeportivo CuencaMushuc RunaMushuc RunaBarcelona GuayaquilTecnico UniversitarioMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaLibertad LojaEmelecMushuc RunaMushuc RunaOrense SCManta FCDeportivo CuencaDelfin SCManta FCManta FCTecnico UniversitarioManta FCOrense SCManta FCOrense SCManta FCSD Aucas QuitoEmelecManta FCMacaraManta FCManta FCBarcelona GuayaquilUniversidad Catolica del EcuadorManta FCManta FCLeones Del NorteDeportivo CuencaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaIndependiente Del ValleManta FCTecnico UniversitarioManta FC| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 2.18 | 5.15 | |
| 1.55 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
Manta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc Runa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  SD Aucas Quito | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones Del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa Prediction (Aug 01)
Our Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa prediction for the Ecuador Serie A match on August 1, 2026, at 19:00 points to a draw as the most likely outcome. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head stats, the draw has a 42% probability, while Mushuc Runa holds a slight edge over Manta FC in win chances (30% vs 28%).
Team Form
Manta FC are in poor form, with no wins in their last five matches (L, L, D, L, L). They suffered defeats against Independiente Del Valle (0-1), Tecnico Universitario (0-1), Guayaquil City (0-1), and Delfin SC (0-1), with a 1-1 draw at home to LDU Quito as the only point gained.
Mushuc Runa have also struggled, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, D, W, L, L). They lost to Libertad Loja (0-2) and Macara (1-2), drew 1-1 away at Emelec, beat Orense SC 2-1 at home, and were heavily defeated 1-4 by Independiente Del Valle.
Head-to-Head Record
In 20 previous meetings, Manta FC have won 4 times, Mushuc Runa 7, with 9 draws. The last five encounters have been evenly split: two wins each and one draw. The most recent clash on April 11, 2026, saw Mushuc Runa win 1-0 at home. Before that, Manta FC won 3-0 at home in November 2025, and the teams drew 1-1 in October 2025.
- Apr 11, 2026: Mushuc Runa 1-0 Manta FC
- Nov 08, 2025: Manta FC 3-0 Mushuc Runa
- Oct 25, 2025: Mushuc Runa 1-1 Manta FC
- Aug 30, 2025: Mushuc Runa 2-0 Manta FC
- May 10, 2025: Manta FC 2-1 Mushuc Runa
Win Probability: Manta FC or Mushuc Runa?
After analyzing the odds and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head history, we assign the following win probabilities: Manta FC 28%, Draw 42%, Mushuc Runa 30%. The bookmakersโ odds implied a draw probability of around 40%, and the high number of draws in past meetings (9 out of 20) supports this. Both teams are struggling for form, which further increases the likelihood of a stalemate. Therefore, the draw is the most probable result, but if a winner must emerge, Mushuc Runa have a slightly higher chance than Manta FC.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following odds ranges: home win 2.75โ3.00, draw 1.92โ3.13, away win 2.75โ3.10. The narrow draw odds indicate that the market expects a tight contest. Our prediction aligns with the odds: a draw is the safest bet. However, for those looking for a winner, Mushuc Runaโs marginally better form gives them a slight advantage.
Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa โ FAQ
- Who will win Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa?
- Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 42% probability. Mushuc Runa have a 30% chance of winning, while Manta FC have a 28% chance. The high frequency of draws in their head-to-head history and both teamsโ poor form point to a stalemate.
- What is the win probability for Mushuc Runa?
- Mushuc Runa have a 30% win probability. This is slightly higher than Manta FCโs 28%, mainly due to Mushuc Runaโs slightly better recent form (one win in their last five compared to Manta FCโs zero). However, the draw remains the most likely outcome at 42%.
- When is the Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa match?
- The match is scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Serie A fixture in Ecuador.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds vary across bookmakers, with home win odds between 2.75 and 3.00, draw odds between 1.92 and 3.13, and away win odds between 2.75 and 3.10. The draw is priced as the most probable outcome.
- What is the recent form of both teams?
- Manta FC have lost four and drawn one of their last five matches, failing to score in four of those games. Mushuc Runa have one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, with both teams struggling to find consistency.