| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
The Mar de Fondo vs Terremoto prediction for the Segunda Division clash on Sep 14, 2026, points to a draw as the most likely outcome. With Mar de Fondo struggling at home and Terremoto showing resilience on the road, the match is expected to be tight. Our win probability analysis gives Mar de Fondo a 20% chance, the draw a 50% chance, and Terremoto a 30% chance.
Mar de Fondo's recent form is poor, with four consecutive losses before a single win. They lost at home to CA Artigas (2-3), Durazno (0-3), Deportivo Italiano (0-1), and Atletico Bella Vista de Paysandu (0-2). Their only victory came away against CSYD Los Halcones (2-1). At home, they have failed to score in three of those four defeats, highlighting a weak attack.
Terremoto's last five matches show one win, three draws, and one loss. They drew away at Sud America (0-0) and Huracan Buceo (1-1), lost at home to Deportivo Lsm (0-2), drew at home with Atletico Bella Vista de Paysandu (1-1), and won at home against CA Artigas (4-0) in the Primera Division. Their away form includes two goalless draws, suggesting a solid defense but limited scoring.
There is no head-to-head record between Mar de Fondo and Terremoto, as the two sides have never met before. This will be their first encounter.
Neither Mar de Fondo nor Terremoto appear in the provided Segunda Division standings, which only includes the top 12 teams. This indicates both sides are likely in the lower half of the table, with similar struggles this season.
Based on the odds, team form, and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities: Mar de Fondo win โ 20%, Draw โ 50%, Terremoto win โ 30%. The draw is heavily favored due to Mar de Fondo's dreadful home record (four straight home losses) and Terremoto's tendency to draw away games. The bookmakers' odds also reflect this, with the draw priced at a low 2.05. Terremoto has a slightly higher chance of winning than the home side, but a stalemate is the most probable result.
The best available odds for this match are: Mar de Fondo 3.60, Draw 2.05, Terremoto 2.80. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the favorite. Considering the stats, our match prediction is a low-scoring draw. Betting tips: the draw looks the safest option, while under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering given both teams' recent scoring struggles.