Marek Dupnica - CSKA Sofia II prediction 30 October 2026

The Marek Dupnica vs CSKA Sofia II prediction for this B PFG fixture on October 30 at 12:30 suggests CSKA Sofia II hold a clear advantage, despite playing away from home. Based on our win probability model, CSKA Sofia II have a 45% chance of winning, while Marek Dupnica sit at 28%, with a 27% probability for the draw. The league leaders travel to a Marek side sitting in mid-table, making this a compelling contest in the Bulgarian second tier.

Team Form

Marek Dupnica come into this match with inconsistent form over their last five outings, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, L, W, W, D). Their most recent league match ended in a 1-1 away draw at Vihren Sandanski. Before that, they suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Cherno More Varna in the Cup, but showed resilience with a 3-2 home victory over Beroe Stara Zagora in B PFG play.

CSKA Sofia II, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches, posting three wins and two draws (D, D, W, W, W). Their most recent fixture was a thrilling 3-3 home draw against Yantra Gabrovo. They also secured a 0-0 draw away at Nesebar and have recorded dominant wins over Sportist Svoge (1-0) and Montana (4-0) during this run, alongside a 3-1 away victory at Dobrudzha 1919.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams shows Marek Dupnica with a slight historical edge: 2 wins to CSKA Sofia II's 1, with 1 draw in four completed matches. However, the most recent result was a heavy 5-1 defeat for Marek in a Friendly Clubs match in July 2026. In B PFG competition, the last meeting saw Marek secure a 1-0 away win in April 2026, preceded by a 1-1 draw in September 2025 and a 1-0 home win for Marek in May 2025.

League Table Positions

CSKA Sofia II sit top of the overall B PFG table with 25 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses), with a strong goal difference of +14 (26 scored, 12 conceded). Marek Dupnica are 10th with 18 points from 13 games (5 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses) and a neutral goal difference of 0 (15 scored, 15 conceded). The away table highlights a clear weakness for Marek, who have taken just 6 points from 8 away matches this season, ranking 8th in the away standings. CSKA Sofia II rank 3rd in the away table with 11 points from 7 games, conceding just 4 goals on the road.

Win Probability: Marek Dupnica or CSKA Sofia II?

Calculating from available odds and adjusting for form and league standing, the win probabilities for this match are: Marek Dupnica win: 28%, Draw: 27%, and CSKA Sofia II win: 45%. The odds imply a tight game, but CSKA's superior league position, strong away record, and unbeaten run of five matches shift the balance in their favor. Marek's home advantage keeps them competitive, but their leaky defense against top opposition remains a concern. CSKA Sofia II has a noticeably higher probability to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match tightly. The available 1X2 odds show variations, with one bookmaker offering 3.55 for a Marek Dupnica win, 2.00 for the draw, and 2.82 for an away win, while another lists 3.00, 3.20, and 2.15 respectively. The under/over markets and BTTS were not available in the data.

Based on the stats, CSKA Sofia II appear the value pick to win. Their relentless form and rock-solid defense on the road (just 4 goals conceded in 7 away games) give them a significant edge over a Marek side that has lost 5 times already this season. While Marek have historically matched up well in the league, CSKA Sofia II's current trajectory makes an away victory the most likely outcome.