Maritimo U23 - Benfica U23 prediction 25 September 2026

This Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23 prediction covers the Championship U23 match on Sep 25, 2026 at 14:00. Based on the available form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Benfica U23 are the favorites with an estimated 45% win probability, while Maritimo U23 have a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Maritimo U23 Form

Maritimo U23 have struggled in their last five matches, with no wins. Their recent results are: 0-2 loss at home to Felgueiras 1932 U23 on Sep 20, 2-1 loss away to Vizela U23 on Sep 15, 1-1 home draw with Gil Vicente U23 on Sep 8, 2-0 loss away to UD Leiria U23 on Sep 1, and 0-0 home draw with Estrela Amadora U23 on Aug 25.

• Last five form: L, L, D, L, D
• Goals scored in last five: 2; goals conceded: 7

Benfica U23 Form

Benfica U23 have shown improvement with two straight wins after three losses. Their last five: 3-0 home win over SCU Torreense U23 on Sep 19, 2-1 away win at UD Leiria U23 on Sep 14, 0-1 home loss to Vizela U23 on Sep 9, 1-2 home loss to Academico Viseu U23 on Sep 2, and 1-4 away loss to Sporting Lisbon U23 on Aug 25.

• Last five form: W, W, L, L, L
• Goals scored in last five: 7; goals conceded: 8

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head record provided, Maritimo U23 have 3 wins, 3 draws, and Benfica U23 have 2 wins. Recent meetings between the clubs show Benfica U23 winning the last two fixtures at Maritimo U23: 3-1 on Aug 22, 2022 and 2-0 on Nov 7, 2021. The most recent overall meeting between the sides on Aug 22, 2022 ended Maritimo U23 1-3 Benfica U23.

League Table Positions

In the league table provided, Benfica U23 are 12th with 7 points from 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. Maritimo U23 are not listed among the top 12 teams, which suggests they are lower in the standings. Benfica U23 also appear 8th in the home table with 4 points from four home matches, while Maritimo U23 do not feature in the home or away top eight.

Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23 Prediction: Win Probability

Based on the available data, we estimate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Maritimo U23 has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Benfica U23 has a 45% chance. No bookmaker odds are available in the provided data, so this calculation uses the inverse of typical odds logic adjusted by form, head-to-head and table positions.

Benfica U23 get the edge from their better league position (12th vs Maritimo U23 not in the top 12), stronger recent results (two wins vs none for Maritimo U23), and consecutive away wins in this head-to-head at Maritimo U23. Home advantage keeps Maritimo U23 competitive, but their five-match winless run lowers their probability. The draw remains a solid 30% chance given Maritimo U23 have drawn two of their last five and the two sides have drawn twice in the last five H2H matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmaker odds are not listed in the match data for this fixture; the selected betting market is 1X2. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away win for Benfica U23, but with a draw as a strong second option. A cautious betting tip would be to back Benfica U23 in the 1X2 market or consider the draw no bet option if available.