| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 1.98 | 6.10 | |
| 2.15 | 2.00 | 5.50 | |
| 1.60 | 3.25 | 5.50 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 17 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Our Entebbe vs Maroons prediction for this Uganda Premier League fixture on Oct 28 at 13:00 points towards a tight, low-scoring contest with Entebbe holding a clear edge. Based on our probability model, Entebbe has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Maroons has a 20% chance of taking all three points.
Entebbe come into this match with a solid recent record of W, D, W, D, L in their last five outings. They beat Kigezi Homeboys 1-0 away, drew 0-0 at URA FC, and thrashed Uganda Police 3-0 at home. Their only defeat in this run was a narrow 1-0 home loss to Lugazi Municipal. Maroons have posted W, D, W, L, L over the same period. A 4-1 home win against Kataka FC and a 3-0 victory over Lugazi Municipal showed their attacking threat, but away losses at UPDF FC and a home defeat to Blacks Power highlight their inconsistency.
The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with 0 wins for Entebbe, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Maroons. The most recent meeting on May 12 ended 0-0, and the clash on Jan 27 also finished 0-0. These results underline how cagey this fixture typically is.
In the Premier League overall standings, Entebbe sit 4th with 14 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Maroons are 8th with 10 points from 7 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Entebbe's defensive record is particularly impressive: they have conceded just 2 goals all season. The away table shows Entebbe top with 8 points from 4 trips, yet to concede a goal on the road. Maroons have collected 6 points from 4 home matches, scoring 9 but conceding 5.
We assign the following outcome probabilities: Entebbe win 45%, draw 35%, Maroons win 20%. This assessment uses the bookmaker odds (inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusts for form and home/away data. Entebbe's unbeaten away record with zero goals conceded heavily weights the model against a Maroons victory, while the 0-0 history between these sides lifts the draw probability significantly above the market average.
Bookmakers see this as a low-scoring game: the best available odds are 2.40 for a home win, 2.00 for the draw, and 5.90 for an away win. The short price on the draw reflects the two goalless stalemates these teams produced earlier in 2026. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Entebbe victory or another draw, with under 2.5 total goals looking the safest betting angle.