Maroons - Lugazi Municipal prediction 7 October 2026
Maroons
Lugazi MunicipalMaroons
Kataka FCVipers SCMaroonsMaroonsLugazi MunicipalUPDF FCMaroonsMaroonsBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeMaroonsMaroonsURA FCUganda PoliceMaroonsMaroonsSC VillaMaroonsVipers SCMaroonsEntebbeKampala Capital City AuthorityMaroonsURA FCMaroonsMaroonsUganda PoliceMbarara City FCMaroonsLugazi MunicipalExpress FCLugazi MunicipalBul FCMaroonsLugazi MunicipalLugazi MunicipalUganda PoliceEntebbeLugazi MunicipalNEC BugolobiLugazi MunicipalExpress FCLugazi MunicipalBul FCLugazi MunicipalLugazi MunicipalMbarara City FCBuhimba United Saints FCLugazi MunicipalLugazi MunicipalKitara FCLugazi MunicipalSC VillaLugazi MunicipalEntebbeNEC BugolobiLugazi MunicipalLugazi MunicipalKampala Capital City AuthorityMaroonsLugazi MunicipalMaroonsLugazi MunicipalLugazi MunicipalMaroons| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction (Oct 7)
The Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 7, 2026, at 14:00 points to a home advantage, but recent form makes this a tighter contest than the odds suggest. Based on our analysis, Maroons have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Lugazi Municipal hold a 25% probability of an upset.
Team Form
Maroons enter this fixture with a mixed run of results: L, L, W, L, W in their last five outings. Both wins came on the road โ a 3-1 victory at Ntugasaze and a 2-0 win at Uganda Police โ while they lost both home matches against Blacks Power/Bukedea TC (1-2) and URA FC (1-2). Their most recent result was a 1-0 defeat at UPDF FC.
Lugazi Municipalโs last five read L, W, L, D, D. They suffered a 0-2 home loss to Uganda Police and a 3-1 away defeat at NEC Bugolobi, but did pick up a 1-0 win at Entebbe. The two draws โ 0-0 at Express FC and 0-0 at Bul FC โ show they can be stubborn on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
Maroons have dominated this fixture, winning both previous meetings. On Nov 25, 2025, they cruised to a 3-0 home victory, and on Mar 28, 2025, they secured a 1-0 away win. The head-to-head record stands at 2 wins for Maroons, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Lugazi Municipal.
League Table Positions
In the Premier League standings, Lugazi Municipal sit 7th with 6 points from 4 games (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), while Maroons are 11th with 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses). Maroons have lost both home matches this season, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Lugazi Municipalโs away record is 1 win and 1 loss, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded.
Win Probability: Maroons or Lugazi Municipal?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Maroons win 45%, draw 30%, Lugazi Municipal win 25%. The odds imply a 47% chance for a home win, but Maroonsโ poor home form (0 wins, 2 losses) and Lugaziโs ability to grind out away draws (two 0-0 stalemates in May) lead us to slightly lower the hostsโ chances. The head-to-head history still gives Maroons the edge, making them the most likely winner, but a draw is a real possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Maroons at 1.91 to win, the draw at 3.00, and Lugazi Municipal at 3.90. These odds reflect Maroons as the clear favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Maroons should edge this, but Lugazi Municipalโs recent away resilience means a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal โ FAQ
- Who will win Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal?
- Maroons are the favorites with a 45% chance of winning. The draw has a 30% probability, while Lugazi Municipal have a 25% chance of victory. This is based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head records.
- What is the win probability for Maroons?
- Maroons have a 45% chance of winning the match. Despite being favorites according to the odds, their two home losses this season and Lugazi Municipalโs two away draws have reduced their probability from the raw odds-implied 47%.
- When is the Maroons vs Lugazi Municipal match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Uganda.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Maroons win at 1.91, a draw at 3.00, and Lugazi Municipal win at 3.90. These odds indicate Maroons are the expected winners.