Marquense - Deportivo Mixco prediction 15 October 2026

The Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco prediction sees the visitors as slight favorites in this Liga Nacional clash on Oct 15 at 04:00. Based on extensive head-to-head data and recent form, Deportivo Mixco holds a 40% chance of winning, while the draw and a Marquense victory are very closely matched.

Team Form

Marquense's recent form is positive, with three wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their last two home matches resulted in a 2-1 victory over Antigua GFC and a 1-0 win against Malacateco, showing they are tough to beat on their own turf. Deportivo Mixco's form is more inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a 3-3 draw at Suchitepequez in their latest match. The away team has scored and conceded in their last three games, indicating an open style of play.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record clearly favors Deportivo Mixco. In the last 8 meetings, the away side has won 4 times, while Marquense has won just 2, with 2 draws. Most recently, Deportivo Mixco has won the last two encounters, including a 1-0 victory on Aug 8, 2026, and a 2-1 win on Apr 7, 2026. Marquense's last win in this fixture was a 2-1 home victory on Feb 20, 2026.

League Table Positions

Both teams are competing in the Guatemalan Liga Nacional. While exact table positions and points aren't available, the recent form strings (Marquense: W, W, L, D, W and Deportivo Mixco: D, W, L, W, L) suggest they are both in the competitive mix and likely close in the standings.

Win Probability: Marquense or Deportivo Mixco?

Marquense has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Deportivo Mixco has a 40% chance. This probability is calculated by weighing Deportivo Mixco's dominant head-to-head record (4 wins to 2) more heavily than Marquense's marginally better recent form. The away side's success in this particular matchup gives them the edge, making them the most likely winner, though it's a closely contested game on paper.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers provide odds for this match, though specific numbers were not detailed in the available data. Based on the stats, the prediction leans towards an away win or a high-scoring draw. Marquense's solid home form makes them a dangerous opponent, but Deportivo Mixco's psychological edge from their H2H record cannot be ignored. A bet on 'Deportivo Mixco or Draw' in the double chance market could be a sensible betting tip.