Mathare United - Aps Bomet FC prediction 10 October 2026
Mathare United
Aps Bomet FC
Migori YouthMathare UnitedKenya Commercial BankMathare UnitedMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCRayon SportsMathare UnitedMathare UnitedBandariUlinzi StarsMathare UnitedMara SugarMathare UnitedMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCSofapakaMathare UnitedMathare UnitedNairobi UnitedMathare UnitedBidco UnitedMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCGor MahiaMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCTuskerAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCAFC Leopards SCBandariAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCKenya Commercial BankAps Bomet FCSofapakaPosta RangersAps Bomet FCUlinzi StarsAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCMathare United| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Mathare United vs Aps Bomet FC Prediction (Aug 31)
Mathare United vs Aps Bomet FC prediction for the Kenya Premier League match on August 31, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head records, Aps Bomet FC is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Mathare United has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Mathare United's recent results have been inconsistent. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses:
- Aug 16: Rayon Sports 3-0 Mathare United (L)
- May 31: Mathare United 1-0 Bandari (W)
- May 23: Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United (L)
- May 16: Mara Sugar 0-1 Mathare United (W)
- May 10: Mathare United 0-2 Aps Bomet FC (L)
Aps Bomet FC, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five outings, with four wins and one draw:
- May 31: Tusker 1-1 Aps Bomet FC (D)
- May 24: Aps Bomet FC 2-1 AFC Leopards SC (W)
- May 20: Bandari 0-2 Aps Bomet FC (W)
- May 10: Mathare United 0-2 Aps Bomet FC (W)
- May 06: Aps Bomet FC 1-0 Kenya Commercial Bank (W)
That strong run gives Aps Bomet FC significant momentum heading into the new season.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met twice in the Premier League, with Aps Bomet FC holding the edge. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Mathare United, 1 draw, and 1 win for Aps Bomet FC.
- May 10, 2026: Mathare United 0-2 Aps Bomet FC
- Nov 09, 2025: Aps Bomet FC 1-1 Mathare United
The most recent encounter ended in a comfortable away win for Aps Bomet FC.
League Table Positions
The 2026/27 Kenya Premier League season is just getting underway, with all teams on 0 points after 0 games played. No team has a table advantage yet. However, Aps Bomet FC's strong finish to the previous campaign suggests they may carry that form into the new season.
Win Probability: Mathare United or Aps Bomet FC?
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Mathare United win: 30%
- Draw: 30%
- Aps Bomet FC win: 40%
The bookmaker odds imply a near-even contest, but Aps Bomet FC's superior recent form and unbeaten head-to-head record tilt the probabilities in their favor. Mathare United's home advantage is offset by their inconsistent results. Based on the stats, Aps Bomet FC is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds from two bookmakers highlight how close this match is expected to be. One bookmaker offers 2.65 for a Mathare United win, 2.68 for the draw, and 2.65 for an Aps Bomet FC victory. Another lists odds of 2.60 (Mathare United), 2.88 (draw), and 2.60 (Aps Bomet FC). The draw odds are slightly higher in the second set, but overall, there is little to separate the teams in the eyes of the bookmakers.
Our prediction: based on the stats, Aps Bomet FC is the value pick to win, but a draw is a realistic outcome. Mathare United will need to improve their recent form to get a result.
Mathare United vs Aps Bomet FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Mathare United vs Aps Bomet FC?
- Based on our analysis, Aps Bomet FC has a 40% chance of winning, while Mathare United has a 30% chance, and a draw stands at 30%. Aps Bomet FC's strong recent form of four wins and a draw in their last five matches, along with an unbeaten head-to-head record, gives them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Aps Bomet FC?
- Aps Bomet FC has a 40% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds adjusted for their excellent form โ four wins and one draw in the last five outings โ and a 2-0 victory over Mathare United in their most recent meeting.
- When is the Mathare United vs Aps Bomet FC match?
- The match is scheduled for August 31, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It will be played in the Kenya Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers have priced the match very closely. One bookmaker offers 2.65 for a Mathare United win, 2.68 for a draw, and 2.65 for an Aps Bomet FC win. Another lists odds of 2.60 (Mathare United), 2.88 (draw), and 2.60 (Aps Bomet FC).
- What is the head-to-head record between Mathare United and Aps Bomet FC?
- In the two previous meetings, Aps Bomet FC won once and drew once. The most recent match on May 10, 2026, ended in a 2-0 away victory for Aps Bomet FC. Mathare United has yet to win this fixture.