Migori Youth - Mathare United prediction 24 October 2026
Migori Youth
Mathare UnitedMigori YouthMathare United
Ulinzi StarsMigori YouthMigori YouthKenya Police FCGor MahiaMigori Youth3K FCMigori YouthKisumuMigori YouthMigori YouthKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthKabati Youth FCMigori YouthMigori YouthNaivasLuanda VillaMigori YouthMigori YouthFC TalantaVihiga United Mulembe UtdMigori YouthMigori YouthDarajani GogoSoy United FCMigori YouthMigori YouthMathare UnitedKenya Commercial BankMathare UnitedMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCRayon SportsMathare UnitedMathare UnitedBandariUlinzi StarsMathare UnitedMara SugarMathare UnitedMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCSofapakaMathare UnitedMathare UnitedNairobi UnitedMathare UnitedBidco UnitedMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMigori YouthMathare United| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Migori Youth vs Mathare United Prediction (Sep 11)
The Migori Youth vs Mathare United prediction for September 11, 2026, sees the home side as a slight favorite in this Kenyan Premier League clash. Based on recent form and home advantage, Migori Youth has a 38% chance of winning, while the draw is at 32% and Mathare United has a 30% chance.
Team Form
Migori Youth come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, with two wins and three draws. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away to Gor Mahia in a Friendly Clubs match on August 16. Before that, they drew 1-1 at 3K FC, won 1-0 at Kisumu, beat Kibera Black Stars 1-0 at home, and drew 0-0 at Mombasa United. That solid defensive recordโconceding only three goals in those five gamesโwill give them confidence.
Mathare United's form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 at home to Aps Bomet FC on August 31, lost 3-0 away to Rayon Sports in a friendly, beat Bandari 1-0 at home, lost 2-1 at Ulinzi Stars, and won 1-0 at Mara Sugar. The away side has struggled for consistency, especially on the road, where they have lost two of their last three away fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Migori Youth and Mathare United. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, making the match difficult to predict based on past encounters.
League Table Positions
Both teams are yet to play a match in the current Premier League season, so the standings show zero points for all clubs. As a result, league position offers no insight into this fixture.
Win Probability: Migori Youth or Mathare United?
After analyzing the available data, Migori Youth has a 38% chance of winning, the draw stands at 32%, and Mathare United has a 30% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmakers' odds (home 2.55, draw 2.75, away 2.70) and adjusted for Migori Youth's stronger recent form and home advantage. While the odds imply a very even contest, the home side's unbeaten run gives them a slight edge.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this match are 2.55 for a Migori Youth win, 2.75 for the draw, and 2.70 for a Mathare United victory. These prices reflect how closely matched the teams are. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Migori Youth, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Migori Youth to win, with a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline possible.
Migori Youth vs Mathare United โ FAQ
- Who will win Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
- Migori Youth is the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, compared to 30% for Mathare United and a 32% chance of a draw. The home side's unbeaten form gives them an edge.
- What is the win probability for Migori Youth?
- Migori Youth has a 38% chance of winning this match. This is based on odds of 2.55, adjusted for their recent form (two wins, three draws) and home advantage.
- When is the Migori Youth vs Mathare United match?
- The match is scheduled for September 11, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. It is a Kenyan Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are 2.55 for a Migori Youth win, 2.75 for a draw, and 2.70 for a Mathare United win. These odds indicate a very tight contest.