UCAM Murcia B - Mazarron prediction 11 October 2026

Spain ยท Tercera FederacionFinished
UCAM Murcia B
5:1
FT
Mazarron
Match Info
CompetitionTercera Federacion ยท Spain
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
UCAM Murcia B
W
D
W
D
D
Mazarron
L
L
L
L
L
Recent matches ยท UCAM Murcia B
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Nueva Vangardia Alcantarilla
21
W
Tercera Federacion
Aguilas FC B
UCAM Murcia B
00
D
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
51
W
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mar Menor CF
11
D
Tercera Federacion
FC Cartagena B
UCAM Murcia B
22
D
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Deportivo Maritimo
40
W
Tercera Federacion
Santomera CF
UCAM Murcia B
21
L
Tercera Federacion
Aguilas FC B
UCAM Murcia B
22
D
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Muleno CF
11
D
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
33
D
Tercera Federacion
El Palmar
UCAM Murcia B
04
W
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Deportivo Maritimo
11
D
Tercera Federacion
Union Molinense
UCAM Murcia B
33
D
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
EF Santa Cruz
40
W
Tercera Federacion
Santomera CF
UCAM Murcia B
24
W
Recent matches ยท Mazarron
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
51
L
Tercera Federacion
Union Molinense
Mazarron
32
L
Tercera Federacion
Bala Azul
Mazarron
10
L
Friendly Clubs
UCAM Murcia
Mazarron
60
L
Tercera Federacion
Real Murcia II
Mazarron
20
L
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
Real Murcia II
11
D
Tercera Federacion
Atletico Pulpileno
Mazarron
01
W
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
Aguilas FC B
23
L
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
33
D
Tercera Federacion
Muleno CF
Mazarron
11
D
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
El Palmar
41
W
Tercera Federacion
Deportivo Maritimo
Mazarron
00
D
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
Union Molinense
10
W
Tercera Federacion
EF Santa Cruz
Mazarron
11
D
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
Santomera CF
50
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
4
UCAM Murcia B
3
Draws
0
Mazarron
Previous meetings
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
51
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
33
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
UCAM Murcia B
11
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
31
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
31
Tercera Federacion
UCAM Murcia B
Mazarron
22
Tercera Federacion
Mazarron
UCAM Murcia B
02
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Boiro751112:6+616
2Sarriana842215:12+314
3Lalin74127:6+113
4CD Barco73318:6+212
5Antela FC73316:5+112
6Portonovo SD83239:8+111
7Silva SD732210:10011
8Villalbes72419:8+110
9Alondras CF731310:10010
10Celtiga82428:8010
11CD Estradense731311:12-110
12Atletico Arteixo723211:1109
13Atletico Coruna Montaneros CF730412:13-19
14Pontevedra B72149:8+17
15Somozas81437:9-27
16Celta Vigo C721410:13-37
17Viveiro CF71243:7-45
18CD Arenteiro71158:13-54
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron Prediction (Oct 11)

UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on October 11, 2026, at 09:00. Based on head-to-head dominance and recent form, UCAM Murcia B are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while Mazarron have just a 25% chance of victory.

Team Form

UCAM Murcia B's last five matches: D, D, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 with Mar Menor CF on Sep 27, drew 2-2 at FC Cartagena B on Sep 20, beat Deportivo Maritimo 4-0 on Sep 13, lost 2-1 at Santomera CF on Sep 5, and drew 2-2 at Aguilas FC B on May 10. The team has been hard to beat, with only one loss in that stretch.

Mazarron's last five matches: L, L, L, L, D. They lost 3-2 at Union Molinense on Sep 27, lost 1-0 at Bala Azul on Sep 12, lost 6-0 at UCAM Murcia in a friendly on Aug 5, lost 2-0 at Real Murcia II on May 24, and drew 1-1 at home against Real Murcia II on May 16. Mazarron are in poor form, with four straight defeats before the draw.

Head-to-Head Record

UCAM Murcia B and Mazarron have met six times. UCAM Murcia B have won 3, drawn 3, and lost 0. The most recent meeting was a 3-3 draw on Apr 26, 2026. The previous encounter on Dec 20, 2025, ended 1-1. UCAM Murcia B have never lost to Mazarron, scoring 14 goals and conceding 8 across the six matches.

Win Probability: UCAM Murcia B or Mazarron?

UCAM Murcia B have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Mazarron have a 25% chance. These probabilities are derived from bookmaker odds (average implied probabilities: home 36.7%, draw 35.8%, away 27.5%), then adjusted upward for UCAM Murcia B due to their unbeaten head-to-head record (3W-3D-0L) and Mazarron's terrible form (four losses in five). The home advantage further strengthens UCAM Murcia B's position. Mazarron's low win probability reflects their struggle to score and frequent defeats.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see UCAM Murcia B as the favorite. One bookmaker offers odds of 2.80 for a home win, 2.15 for a draw, and 3.30 for an away win. Other bookies show similar patterns, with home odds as low as 2.05 and draw odds up to 3.30. Based on the stats, UCAM Murcia B are the more likely winners, but the high number of draws in their head-to-head history suggests a draw is a real possibility. Our prediction: UCAM Murcia B to win, with a draw as a secondary outcome.

UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron โ€” FAQ

Who will win UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron?
UCAM Murcia B has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Mazarron has a 25% chance. UCAM Murcia B are the likely winners based on their unbeaten head-to-head record and Mazarron's poor form.
What is the win probability for UCAM Murcia B?
UCAM Murcia B has a 45% win probability. This is calculated from bookmaker odds (implied ~36.7%) and adjusted upward due to their 3-3-0 head-to-head record against Mazarron and Mazarron's four losses in their last five matches.
When is the UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron match?
The match is on October 11, 2026, at 09:00 local time. It is a Tercera Federacion fixture in Spain.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmakers offer varying odds. One bookmaker lists UCAM Murcia B at 2.80, the draw at 2.15, and Mazarron at 3.30. Other bookies show home odds as low as 2.05, reflecting UCAM Murcia B's favorite status.
What is the head-to-head record between UCAM Murcia B and Mazarron?
In six meetings, UCAM Murcia B have won 3, drawn 3, and lost 0. The last match on Apr 26, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw. UCAM Murcia B have never lost to Mazarron.
UCAM Murcia B โ€“ Mazarron ยท match page