Mazur Karczew - Blonianka Blonie prediction 3 October 2026

Mazur Karczew vs Blonianka Blonie prediction for the IV Liga match on Oct 3, 2026. According to our analysis, Mazur Karczew has a 42% chance to win, while Blonianka Blonie sits at 25%. The draw probability is 33%, making this a competitive fixture where the home team holds a clear edge based on the latest form and odds.

Team Form

Mazur Karczew

Mazur Karczew's last five matches: L, D, W, W, D. They recorded two home wins — a 3-0 victory against Victoria Sulejowek and a thrilling 3-3 draw with MKS Piaseczno — plus an important away draw (0-0 at MKS Makowianka). Their most recent result was a 4-2 defeat at Hutnik Warszawa. Overall, Mazur Karczew have been tough to beat at home, going unbeaten in three of those last four outings in front of their own fans.

Blonianka Blonie

Blonianka Blonie come into this game with a form line of L, L, W, L, D. In their last five away fixtures, they managed just one win — a 4-0 success at Oskarr Przysucha — and one draw (2-2 at MKS Makowianka). The three away defeats were by a combined score of 6-1: they lost 1-0 to both Bron Radom and MKS Piaseczno, and suffered a heavy 4-1 loss at Hutnik Warszawa. That recent road record highlights clear defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Mazur Karczew and Blonianka Blonie. The head-to-head data shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This will be the first ever clash between the two sides.

Win Probability: Mazur Karczew or Blonianka Blonie?

Based on bookmaker odds and recent performances, we calculate the following outcome chances: Mazur Karczew win – 42%, draw – 33%, Blonianka Blonie win – 25%. The market odds implied a tight contest with a slight home preference; after adjusting for Mazur Karczew's stronger home form (two wins, one draws in their last four home games) and Blonianka's poor away run (one win in five), the home side emerges as the clear favourite. Statistically, Mazur Karczew is more likely to take all three points, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Three bookmakers provided 1X2 odds. The home win odds range from 1.91 to 2.60, the draw from 2.38 to 3.75, and the away win from 3.00 to 3.20. This spread indicates some disagreement in the market, but the general lean is towards a home success. Considering the win probability and the form stats, the safest betting angle appears to be a double chance on Mazur Karczew or draw. Our final prediction: home win or draw, with Mazur Karczew having the best chance to claim the victory.