Ntugasaze - Mbarara City FC prediction 7 October 2026
Ntugasaze
Mbarara City FCNtugasaze
Kampala Capital City AuthorityNtugasazeMbarara City FCVipers SCNtugasazeBul FCNtugasazeNtugasazeMaroonsBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeCatda FCNtugasazeNtugasazePaidha Black AngelsNtugasazeExpress FCNtugasazeKataka FCIganga United FCNtugasazeNtugasazeCatda FCBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeNtugasazeMbale Heroes FCNtugasazeYoung ElephantsSC VillaMbarara City FCMbarara City FCBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeMbarara City FCMbarara City FCEntebbeMbarara City FCNEC BugolobiUganda PoliceMbarara City FCKampala Capital City AuthorityMbarara City FCMbarara City FCBuhimba United Saints FCMbarara City FCSC VillaLugazi MunicipalMbarara City FCMbarara City FCExpress FCNEC BugolobiMbarara City FCMbarara City FCMaroonsMbarara City FCUganda PoliceUPDF FCMbarara City FCNtugasazeMbarara City FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC Prediction (Oct 7)
Our Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC prediction for October 7, 2026, in the Uganda Premier League points to a likely away win. Mbarara City FC enter the match as clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while struggling Ntugasaze have just an 18% chance. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time.
Team Form
Ntugasaze are in dire form, losing all of their last five matches. They fell 0-3 at Vipers SC on Sep 19, 1-4 at Bul FC on Sep 8, 1-3 at home to Maroons on Sep 2, 0-1 at Blacks Power/Bukedea TC on Aug 29, and 1-2 at Catda FC back in April. The side has conceded 13 goals in those five games, scoring just 3.
Mbarara City FCโs recent results are mixed but notably better. They drew 0-0 at home to Entebbe on Sep 16 and 0-0 at home to NEC Bugolobi on Sep 11. Before that, they lost 0-1 at Uganda Police on Aug 29 and 1-4 at Kampala Capital City Authority on May 23. Their only win in the last five came on May 19, a 2-0 home victory over Buhimba United Saints FC.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head record between Ntugasaze and Mbarara City FC. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can influence the prediction.
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the top 12 of the Uganda Premier League standings. Ntugasaze are clearly struggling near the bottom, while Mbarara City FC are also in the lower half. The table is led by Bul FC with 12 points from 4 games, followed by NEC and SC Villa on 10 points. The absence of both teams from the top half underlines their difficult campaigns.
Win Probability: Ntugasaze or Mbarara City FC?
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the home/away factor, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Ntugasaze has an 18% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Mbarara City FC has a 55% chance. The odds heavily favor the away side, and Ntugasazeโs five-match losing streak makes an upset highly unlikely. Mbarara City FCโs two recent goalless draws suggest they can be solid defensively, which further reduces the home teamโs prospects.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds are: Ntugasaze win 4.40, draw 3.25, Mbarara City FC win 1.73. Bookmakers see Mbarara City FC as the strong favorite. Our Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC prediction is an away win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given the visitorsโ recent 0-0 results. A bet on under 2.5 total goals could also be worth considering.
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC?
- Mbarara City FC are the favorites with a 55% win probability, while Ntugasaze have just an 18% chance. The draw is at 27%. These probabilities are based on the odds (1.73 for an away win) and Ntugasazeโs five-match losing streak.
- What is the win probability for Mbarara City FC?
- Mbarara City FC have a 55% chance of winning this match. This figure is derived from the bookmaker odds of 1.73 and adjusted for Ntugasazeโs poor form, which includes five consecutive defeats.
- When is the Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City FC match?
- The match is scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Uganda Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds are: Ntugasaze win 4.40, draw 3.25, and Mbarara City FC win 1.73. These prices clearly indicate Mbarara City FC as the expected winner.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ntugasaze and Mbarara City FC?
- There is no head-to-head record. This will be the first ever meeting between Ntugasaze and Mbarara City FC.