| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
The Medeama vs Port City FC Ghana prediction for Sep 30 at 16:00 in the Ghana Premier League is a close call. The draw is the slight favourite according to the odds and our probability model gives the draw a 40% chance, with Medeama at 38% and Port City FC Ghana at 22%.
Medeama's recent form reads W, D, D, L, L across all competitions. In their latest Premier League match they beat Basake Holy Stars 4-1 at home on Sep 27. Before that they drew 2-2 away at Dreams and 1-1 at Vision FC Tema. A 0-1 home loss to TP Mazembe in the CAF Champions League and a 0-1 friendly loss to Samartex complete the sequence.
Port City FC Ghana come into this match with W, D, W, L, D in their last five. In the Premier League they beat Berekum Chelsea 2-1 at home on Sep 20 and drew 1-1 with Ashanti Gold on Sep 6. A 1-3 away defeat to Wake FC in USL League Two is the only recent loss.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Medeama and Port City FC Ghana in the data: home wins 0, draws 0, away wins 0. This makes the meeting difficult to call from direct history alone.
After three Premier League matches, Port City FC Ghana sit 3rd with 7 points, while Medeama are 9th with 5 points. Port City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Medeama have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
In the away table, Port City are ranked 4th with one win from one, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Medeama are ranked 7th in the away table with two draws from two, scoring 3 and conceding 3.
Using the 1X2 odds of 2.20 for Medeama, 2.05 for the draw and 6.00 for Port City FC Ghana, we first remove the bookmaker margin. The raw implied probabilities are about 41% for Medeama, 44% for the draw and 15% for Port City FC Ghana.
We then adjust for current team form, the league table gap and home advantage. Port City's higher position and unbeaten league start warrant more respect than the raw away odds imply, while Medeama's home match and recent 4-1 league win keep them close. The final win probability is: Medeama 38%, draw 40%, Port City FC Ghana 22%.
Conclusion: the match is likely to be tight. Who will win? Based on the numbers, the draw is the most probable result, and Medeama are the more likely winner if one side takes all three points.
Bookmakers make the draw the narrow favourite at 2.05, with a home win for Medeama priced at 2.20 and an away win for Port City FC Ghana at 6.00. This indicates the market sees Medeama as the more dangerous side but not by much.
Based on the stats, the best match prediction is a draw. The odds support the draw, both teams have drawn matches recently, and there is no head-to-head edge. For betting tips, the draw at 2.05 is the most consistent outcome with the data.