Ethiopian Insurance Medhin - Mekelakeya Defence Force SC prediction 27 October 2026

Ethiopia ยท Premier LeagueFinished
Match Info
CompetitionPremier League ยท Ethiopia
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
D
L
L
L
W
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
L
W
D
L
W
Recent matches ยท Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Premier League
Hawassa City
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
11
D
Premier League
Fasil Kenema
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
10
L
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Shire Endaselassie FC
03
L
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
10
L
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Dire Dawa
10
W
Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
11
D
Cup
Cafe Sidama Bunna
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
22
D
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Wolaita Dicha
00
D
Premier League
Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
11
D
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
21
W
Premier League
Cafe Sidama Bunna
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
01
W
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Hawassa City
21
W
Cup
Bench Maji Bunna
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
02
W
Premier League
Ethio Electric
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
11
D
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Bahir Dar Kenema
11
D
Recent matches ยท Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
01
L
Premier League
Hawassa City
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
01
W
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Hadiya Hossana
00
D
Premier League
Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
20
L
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
10
W
Premier League
Saint George SC
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
30
L
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Arba Minch Kenema
12
L
Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
11
D
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Negelle Arsi
40
W
Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
11
D
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Adama City Kenema
00
D
Premier League
Ethio Electric
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
01
W
Cup
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Welwalo Adigrat
00
D
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Hawassa City
00
D
Premier League
Dire Dawa
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
12
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
1
Draws
4
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Previous meetings
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
10
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
01
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
20
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
00
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
01
Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
01
Premier League
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin
12
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Negelle Arsi42205:1+48
2Ethiopia Nigd Bank42203:1+28
3Ethio Electric42112:1+17
4Bahir Dar Kenema32014:2+26
5Mekelakeya Defence Force SC32012:1+16
6Wolaita Dicha41218:4+45
7Sheger Ketema41213:305
8Adama City Kenema41212:205
9Halaba Ketema41213:8-55
10Ethiopian Insurance Medhin21103:1+24
11Hadiya Hossana31112:204
12Saint George SC40315:6-13
13Ethiopia Bunna41032:6-43
14Hawassa City30212:3-12
15Fasil Kenema30211:2-12
16Welwalo Adigrat10101:101
17Gamo Chencha30120:3-31
18Cafe Sidama Bunna10010:1-10
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC Prediction (Oct 27)

The Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC prediction points to an away win on October 27, 2026, in the Ethiopian Premier League. Based on head-to-head dominance, better league standing, and perfect away form, Mekelakeya Defence Force SC enters the match with a 50% win probability.

Team Form

Ethiopian Insurance Medhin (last 5 matches, most recent first):

  • Oct 17: drew 1-1 away vs Hawassa City
  • Jul 1: lost 0-1 away vs Fasil Kenema
  • Jun 27: lost 0-3 home vs Shire Endaselassie FC
  • Jun 21: lost 0-1 away vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC
  • Jun 14: won 1-0 home vs Dire Dawa

Mekelakeya Defence Force SC (last 5 matches, most recent first):

  • Oct 18: lost 0-1 home vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
  • Oct 11: won 1-0 away vs Hawassa City
  • Jul 3: drew 0-0 home vs Hadiya Hossana
  • Jun 28: lost 0-2 away vs Sheger Ketema
  • Jun 21: won 1-0 home vs Ethiopian Insurance Medhin

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record across 7 previous meetings:

  • Ethiopian Insurance Medhin wins: 2
  • Draws: 1
  • Mekelakeya Defence Force SC wins: 4

Mekelakeya has won the last two encounters, including a 1-0 victory on Jun 21, 2026 and a 1-0 away win on Jan 26, 2026. Ethiopian Insurance Medhin's last win in the fixture came on Jun 10, 2025 (2-0 at home).

League Table Positions

Ethiopian Insurance Medhin sits 8th with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, goals 3-1). Mekelakeya Defence Force SC is 4th with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, goals 2-1). In away games, Mekelakeya boasts a perfect record of 2 wins from 2, scoring 2 and conceding none.

Win Probability: Ethiopian Insurance Medhin or Mekelakeya Defence Force SC?

Taking historical head-to-head data (Mekelakeya won 57% of past meetings) and adjusting for current form and the home/away factor, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Ethiopian Insurance Medhin win โ€“ 25%, draw โ€“ 25%, Mekelakeya Defence Force SC win โ€“ 50%. The total sums to 100%. Mekelakeya's strong away form and superior league position justify the clear favorite status.

Odds & Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC Prediction

Bookmaker odds are not available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the statistical analysis, Mekelakeya Defence Force SC is the expected winner. Their recent head-to-head dominance and flawless away record give them a significant edge over an Ethiopian Insurance Medhin side that has lost 3 of its last 5 matches. The final prediction is a Mekelakeya Defence Force SC victory.

Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC โ€” FAQ

Who will win Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC?
Based on our analysis, Mekelakeya Defence Force SC has a 50% chance of winning, while Ethiopian Insurance Medhin has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 25%. So Mekelakeya Defence Force SC is the most likely winner.
What is the win probability for Mekelakeya Defence Force SC?
Mekelakeya Defence Force SC has a 50% win probability. This is derived from their superior head-to-head record (4 wins in 7 meetings), higher league position (4th vs 8th), and perfect away record this season (2 wins, 0 goals conceded).
When is the Ethiopian Insurance Medhin vs Mekelakeya Defence Force SC match?
The match is scheduled for October 27, 2026, at 12:00 (UTC) in the Ethiopian Premier League.
What are the odds for the match?
Currently, no betting odds are available for this fixture. Our prediction is based entirely on team form, head-to-head stats, and league table positions.
Ethiopian Insurance Medhin โ€“ Mekelakeya Defence Force SC ยท match page