Mersin Idman Yurdu - Osmaniyespor prediction 11 October 2026

Osmaniyespor vs Mersin Idman Yurdu prediction for the Cup match on Oct 7, 2026, at 12:00. Based on recent form and bookmaker odds, Osmaniyespor are slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while a draw is at 30% and Mersin Idman Yurdu have a 30% chance.

Team Form

Osmaniyespor's last five matches: L, L, D, L, W. They ended a poor run with a 2-0 home win over Agri Spor on Mar 15, but earlier suffered defeats to 12 Bingolspor (1-2), Kirikkale Buyuk Anadoluspor (1-3), and Malatya Yesilyurt Belediyespor (2-3), with a 3-3 draw against Suvermez Kapadokyaspor.

Mersin Idman Yurdu are in even worse shape: L, L, L, D, D. They conceded heavily in losses to Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor (0-6), Bursaspor (0-3), and 68 Aksaray Belediyespor (1-8). Two away draws followed — 0-0 at Menemen Belediyespor and 1-1 at Kirklarelispor — but the team's defensive record is a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Osmaniyespor and Mersin Idman Yurdu in our database.

Win Probability: Osmaniyespor or Mersin Idman Yurdu?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Osmaniyespor win — 40%, draw — 30%, Mersin Idman Yurdu win — 30%. The bookmaker odds (home 2.87, draw 2.30, away 2.87) implied a very balanced match, but Osmaniyespor's home advantage and Mersin Idman Yurdu's recent defensive collapses give the hosts a slight edge. Mersin's two away draws show they can be stubborn, but their overall form makes them underdogs.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds are: Osmaniyespor win at 2.87, draw at 2.30, Mersin Idman Yurdu win at 2.87. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome, but the match is wide open. Our Osmaniyespor vs Mersin Idman Yurdu prediction is that the hosts have a slightly better chance of taking all three points, but a draw remains a very realistic result. Based on the stats, a low-scoring affair is possible, but Mersin's leaky defense could be exploited.