Mes Kerman - Shahin Bandar Ameri prediction 26 October 2026

Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri prediction for the Azadegan League clash on October 26, 2026. The match kicks off at 11:30 at Mes Kerman's home ground, and based on the available data, a draw is the most probable outcome with a 48% likelihood, while Mes Kerman holds a 30% win chance and Shahin Bandar Ameri a 22% chance.

Team Form

Mes Kerman are in dire form, taking just two points from their last five matches. Their recent results read L, L, D, L, D, with the only points coming from two goalless draws against Niroye Zamini (0-0) and a 1-1 stalemate at Fard Alborz FC. They failed to score in three of those games and conceded late in others, showing a lack of firepower.

Shahin Bandar Ameri have played only two recent matches, losing 3-0 away to Fard Alborz FC and drawing 0-0 at home to FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr. They are winless, goalless, and have conceded three times in those 180 minutes. The sample is small, but the away loss was heavy, and the draw against a strong opponent does provide a small positive.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Mes Kerman and Shahin Bandar Ameri. The JSON data shows zero wins for either side and no draws, indicating these teams have not met in recent seasons or the data is unavailable. Therefore, the H2H factor carries no weight in this prediction.

League Table Positions

Mes Kerman are not listed in the top 12 of the Azadegan League overall standings, meaning they sit below 12th place. Shahin Bandar Ameri are 12th with 6 points from 6 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses, 7 goals scored, 9 conceded). Mes Kerman's absence from the table suggests they have collected fewer than 6 points and are likely in the bottom reaches, which underlines their struggles this season.

Win Probability: Mes Kerman or Shahin Bandar Ameri?

The calculated win probabilities are: Mes Kerman 30%, draw 48%, Shahin Bandar Ameri 22% (totalling 100%). The base came from the odds (home 2.80, draw 1.87, away 4.33), normalising the inverse values to remove the bookmaker margin. The draw was already the implied favourite, but Mes Kerman's horrific form and missing league standing forced a slight adjustment downward for the home win and upward for the draw. Shahin Bandar Ameri's own poor run and low position kept their win probability modest, though their away win percentage edges up slightly because the home side is in even deeper trouble. Home advantage is heavily discounted.

Odds & Match Prediction

The match odds available show Mes Kerman at 2.80, the draw at 1.87, and Shahin Bandar Ameri at 4.33 (one bookmaker had draw 1.91). Bookmakers clearly expect a tight, low-scoring affair with a draw the strongest single outcome. Our Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri prediction aligns with that: the stats, form, and table data all point to a stalemate. With both teams struggling to score (Mes Kerman just one goal in five, Shahin Bandar Ameri zero in two), a 0-0 or 1-1 draw appears the most realistic match result.