Shenavar Sazi Qeshm - Mes Kerman prediction 20 October 2026

Our Shenavar Sazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman prediction for this Azadegan League fixture on Oct 20 at 15:00 sees the home side as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, Shenavar Sazi Qeshm has a 62% win probability, while Mes Kerman has just a 15% chance of victory. This prediction is driven by a dominant head-to-head record and strong current form for the hosts.

Team Form

Shenavar Sazi Qeshm comes into this match in solid form. Their last five league results show two wins, two draws, and just one loss (W, D, L, D, W). That run includes a convincing 4-2 home victory against Naft Gachsaran and an impressive 1-0 away win at Saipa in their most recent outing on Oct 12. They have proven difficult to beat, especially at home where they have only lost once in their recent matches.

Mes Kerman's form is a major concern for their supporters. They are winless in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses (L, D, L, D, D). Their attack has struggled significantly, failing to score in four of those five games, including a 0-1 home defeat to Saipa and a 0-1 away loss to Mes Rafsanjan on Oct 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Shenavar Sazi Qeshm. In the two previous meetings between these sides in the Azadegan League, Shenavar Sazi Qeshm has won both times, with Mes Kerman yet to secure a victory and no draws recorded. The most recent clash was on Feb 2, 2026, where Shenavar Sazi Qeshm won 2-1 away from home. Earlier, on Sep 11, 2025, they won 1-0 at home, proving their ability to keep a clean sheet against this opponent.

League Table Positions

Shenavar Sazi Qeshm sits 4th in the Azadegan League overall standings with 9 points from 5 matches, remaining unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws. Their defensive record is strong, conceding just 2 goals. At home, they have taken 4 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 draw), while their away form is actually ranked 1st in the league with 5 points from 3 games.

Mes Kerman is not featured in the top 12 of the provided league table data, suggesting they are positioned much lower in the standings. This gap in the table underscores the division between the two sides this season.

Win Probability: Shenavar Sazi Qeshm or Mes Kerman?

The calculated win probabilities for this match are: Shenavar Sazi Qeshm 62%, draw 23%, Mes Kerman 15%. This assessment is based on available data. The perfect head-to-head record (2 wins for Shenavar) and contrasting form (Shenavar is unbeaten in 4 of 5, Mes Kerman is winless in 5) heavily weight the probabilities toward the home side. Shenavar Sazi Qeshm's strong defensive numbers, conceding only 2 goals in 5 league games, make a victory for a struggling Mes Kerman attack very unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available for the 1X2 market on this match. However, based purely on the statistics, Shenavar Sazi Qeshm is the strong favorite. Their consistent form and historical dominance in this fixture point towards a home win. Mes Kerman's goal-scoring drought will be a major obstacle to overcome against the league's tightest defense. Our prediction is a home victory.