| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 2 |
This Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah prediction covers the Azadegan League match on Sep 29 at 14:30. Based on the current odds, recent form, and league table, the draw is the most likely outcome at 45%, while Besat Kermanshah holds a slight edge over Mes Rafsanjan for a win at 29% versus 26%. Read on for betting tips, odds, head-to-head data, and win probability.
Mes Rafsanjan enter with a mixed recent run of D, W, L, L, D in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 at home against Havadar SC on Sep 16 and 0-0 with Zob Ahan in January, beat Paykan 2-0 away in February, but lost 0-1 to Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0-2 to Shams Azar Qazvin. In the current Azadegan League season, Mes Rafsanjan have scored 0 goals in 2 matches.
Besat Kermanshah's last five results are W, D, L, L, L. They won 3-0 away at Havadar SC on Sep 22 and drew 0-0 with Naft Gachsaran on Sep 16, but earlier lost to Fard Alborz FC, Ario, and Havadar SC. In the league table, Besat Kermanshah have 3 goals scored and 0 conceded in 2 matches, including a strong away win.
The head-to-head record shows no previous meetings between Mes Rafsanjan and Besat Kermanshah: 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. With no H2H history to rely on, the form and odds carry more weight for this prediction.
Besat Kermanshah are 3rd in the Azadegan League with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, 3 goals scored, 0 conceded). Mes Rafsanjan are 10th with 2 points from 2 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 0 goals scored, 0 conceded). At home, Mes Rafsanjan have 1 draw in 1 match; away, Besat Kermanshah have 1 win in 1 match with 3 goals scored and 0 conceded. The two-point gap and away record give Besat Kermanshah a slight edge.
The win probability is calculated from the 1X2 odds: Mes Rafsanjan 3.40, draw 1.95, Besat Kermanshah 3.40. The inverse odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, give about 26.7% for a home win, 46.6% for a draw, and 26.7% for an away win. After adjusting for recent form and league positions, the final outcome probabilities are:
The most likely match outcome is a draw. If one team does win, Besat Kermanshah has a small advantage because they sit higher in the league table and won their last away match 3-0, while Mes Rafsanjan have yet to score in this league campaign.
The bookmakers have the draw as the favorite at 1.95 decimal odds, with home and away wins both at 3.40. This is consistent with the high draw probability. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a draw, with a draw or away win double chance potentially appealing for bettors. A low-scoring draw fits the recent scoring records, but no specific scoreline is guaranteed.