Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar SC prediction 16 September 2026

This Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar SC prediction covers the Azadegan League match on Sep 16, 2026 at 14:30 UTC. Mes Rafsanjan enters as the slight home favorite with a 45% win probability, while Havadar SC is at 20% and the draw is 35%. The data points to a competitive match, but the head-to-head record strongly favors the home side.

Team Form

Mes Rafsanjan

Mes Rafsanjan have collected one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five results. Their recent scores are:

• Feb 14, 2026: Paykan 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan (W)
• Feb 07, 2026: Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan (L)
• Feb 01, 2026: Shams Azar Qazvin 2-0 Mes Rafsanjan (L)
• Jan 28, 2026: Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Zob Ahan (D)
• Jan 22, 2026: Tractor Sazi 4-1 Mes Rafsanjan (L)

That run shows defensive vulnerability away from home and a lack of consistent wins, but they did keep a clean sheet against Zob Ahan at home.

Havadar SC

Havadar SC are unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. Their recent results are:

• Jul 03, 2026: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-2 Havadar SC (W)
• Jun 27, 2026: Havadar SC 4-1 Damash Gilan (W)
• Jun 21, 2026: Besat Kermanshah 0-1 Havadar SC (W)
• Jun 15, 2026: Havadar SC 1-1 Mes Kerman (D)
• Jun 09, 2026: Saipa 0-0 Havadar SC (D)

Havadar SC's away form includes wins at Nassaji Mazandaran and Besat Kermanshah, plus a draw at Saipa, which makes them dangerous despite the H2H disadvantage.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows Mes Rafsanjan with 4 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Havadar SC. The five most recent meetings from the data confirm that trend: Mes Rafsanjan won twice and three games ended level.

• Apr 16, 2025: Havadar SC 0-4 Mes Rafsanjan
• Feb 15, 2024: Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Havadar SC
• Aug 10, 2023: Havadar SC 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan
• Feb 28, 2023: Havadar SC 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan
• Mar 12, 2022: Havadar SC 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan

Havadar SC have never beaten Mes Rafsanjan in the recorded H2H data, and four of the eight all-time meetings ended in draws. This is a key reason the draw probability remains high.

Win Probability: Mes Rafsanjan or Havadar SC?

Mes Rafsanjan has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Havadar SC has a 20% chance. This probability estimate is based on the H2H record, recent form and home advantage, because the available odds data only lists the selected 1X2 market without specific bookmaker prices.

Reasoning:

• Mes Rafsanjan are at home and have never lost to Havadar SC in the recorded H2H series (4 wins, 4 draws).
• Mes Rafsanjan's last five form is weak: 1W, 1D, 3L, which reduces their win probability.
• Havadar SC's last five form is strong: 3W, 2D, but their historical record against Mes Rafsanjan and away status cap their win probability at 20%.
• The high number of H2H draws (4 of 8) pushes the draw to 35%.

Conclusion: Mes Rafsanjan is the more likely single winner, but the draw has enough statistical support to be a serious alternative.

Odds & Mes Rafsanjan vs Havadar SC Prediction

The odds section in the data lists only the selected 1X2 market, with no specific bookmaker prices. Based on the stats, Mes Rafsanjan is the predicted favorite for this Azadegan League match. A win for Mes Rafsanjan has the highest individual probability at 45%, followed by the draw at 35% and a Havadar SC away win at 20%.

Match prediction: Mes Rafsanjan to win is the most likely single outcome. One of the key betting tips from the data is the 1X double chance on Mes Rafsanjan or draw, because the H2H record and home advantage support that view.