Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas - Mes Rafsanjan prediction 27 October 2026

Our Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan prediction for the Azadegan League match on Oct 27, 2026, points to a close contest where Mes Rafsanjan holds a slight advantage. With a 42% win probability, the away side is the most likely winner, while Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas (20%) and the draw (38%) complete the possible outcomes.

Team Form

Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas have struggled for consistency in their last five matches, recording one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Ario, and they also lost 2-1 at Besat Kermanshah. A 1-1 home draw with Havadar SC and a 1-0 win at Naft Masjed Soleyman gave brief respite, but the overall form remains patchy.

Mes Rafsanjan, in stark contrast, are unbeaten in their last five fixtures with four wins and one draw. They began this sequence with a 4-1 demolition of Niroye Zamini at home on Oct 20, and earlier secured impressive away wins at Mes Kerman (1-0) and Ario (1-0), alongside home victories over Besat Kermanshah (1-0) and a goalless draw with Havadar SC. That defensive solidity – just one goal conceded in five games – is a key asset.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas and Mes Rafsanjan in the Azadegan League. This will be the first ever meeting between the two sides, so historical H2H data offers no insight into the likely outcome of this clash.

League Table Positions

Mes Rafsanjan sit 2nd in the Azadegan League standings with 14 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), only one point behind leaders Shenavar Sazi Qeshm. They boast the division’s best home record (10 points from 4 games) and are 4th in the away table with 4 points from 2 unbeaten road trips. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas are not among the top 12 teams in the overall standings, which underlines the significant gap between the two clubs.

Win Probability: Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas or Mes Rafsanjan?

Starting from the average bookmaker odds (home 3.90, draw 1.94, away 2.89), the initial implied probabilities are normalized to remove the margin. We then adjust for team form and league standings. Mes Rafsanjan’s superior unbeaten run, far higher table position, and remarkable defensive record raise their chances. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas’s inconsistent results and low placing reduce their likelihood. The final win probabilities are:

• Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas win: 20%
• Draw: 38%
• Mes Rafsanjan win: 42%

Based on these percentages, Mes Rafsanjan is the more probable winner, but the draw also holds a significant chance, reflecting the competitive nature of the Azadegan League.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds average across bookmakers show a home win at 3.90, a draw at a very short 1.94, and an away win at 2.89. These prices indicate that bookmakers see the draw as the single most probable result, but the market also gives Mes Rafsanjan a solid edge over the home side. Given the gulf in form and league position, our match prediction leans towards an away victory for Mes Rafsanjan, although a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the stats suggest considering the draw no bet or double chance in favour of Mes Rafsanjan.