FK Bor 1919 - Metalac Gornji Milanovac prediction 28 September 2026

The FK Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji Milanovac prediction for Sep 28 in Serbia’s Prva Liga sees the home side as a narrow favourite with a 40% win probability. Despite Metalac’s stronger recent results, the odds and home advantage tip the scales slightly towards FK Bor 1919. The match kicks off at 17:00 and is expected to be a tight contest.

Team Form

FK Bor 1919 come into this match with mixed league form, recording two wins and three losses in their last five outings. They suffered three consecutive defeats — 1-0 at Vrsac, 3-0 at FK Graficar Beograd, and 0-1 at home to Borac Cacak — before recovering with back-to-back victories: a 2-1 away win at Dubocica and a 2-1 home success against Proleter Zrenjanin 023.

Metalac Gornji Milanovac have been in far better shape, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat FK Graficar Beograd 1-0 at home, won 2-1 at Borac Cacak, thrashed Dubocica 5-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Proleter Zrenjanin 023, then slipped to a surprising 2-4 home loss against Loznica. Overall, their attack has looked dangerous, scoring nine goals in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between FK Bor 1919 and Metalac Gornji Milanovac. The data shows zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins, meaning this is the first recent competitive meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

In the overall Prva Liga standings, Metalac Gornji Milanovac sit 7th with 14 points from 10 games (won 4, drawn 2, lost 4, goals 14:12). FK Bor 1919 are down in 12th place with only 8 points (won 2, drawn 2, lost 6, goals 7:17). The away table reveals Metalac are 8th with 7 points from 5 away matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while FK Bor 1919’s home form has been poor — they are not among the top eight home sides and have managed just two wins all season.

Win Probability: FK Bor 1919 or Metalac Gornji Milanovac?

After analysing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: FK Bor 1919 has a 40% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Metalac Gornji Milanovac has a 30% chance. Bookmakers’ odds (removing the margin) suggest a 38-35-27 split, which favours the home team. We have adjusted slightly in Metalac’s favour based on their superior recent form and higher league position. The home advantage for FK Bor 1919 prevents the odds from swinging completely in the visitors’ favour. In summary, FK Bor 1919 are the most likely winner, but the match is too close to call with any great certainty.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds from one bookmaker price FK Bor 1919 at 2.25, the draw at 2.10, and Metalac Gornji Milanovac at 3.30. These figures reflect a cautious expectation of a home win, but the short draw odds highlight the real possibility of a stalemate. Based on the stats, a 1-1 draw seems a very plausible outcome, though FK Bor 1919’s slight edge in the odds makes them the nominal favourite. Bookmakers see FK Bor 1919 as the more likely winner, but our win probability analysis warns against overlooking the visitors’ momentum.