Metalist Kharkiv - Yarud Mariupol prediction 23 October 2026

Ukraine ยท Persha LigaFinished
Match Info
CompetitionPersha Liga ยท Ukraine
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Metalist Kharkiv
L
L
L
D
D
Yarud Mariupol
W
W
W
D
D
Recent matches ยท Metalist Kharkiv
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
02
L
Persha Liga
Agrobiznes Volochisk
Metalist Kharkiv
10
L
Persha Liga
Agrobiznes Volochisk
Metalist Kharkiv
10
L
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Viktoria Nikolaevka
22
D
Persha Liga
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk
Metalist Kharkiv
00
D
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
FC Chernihiv
20
W
Persha Liga
Poltava FC
Metalist Kharkiv
30
L
Persha Liga
Inhulets
Metalist Kharkiv
10
L
Cup
Viktoria Nikolaevka
Metalist Kharkiv
01
W
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
FK UCSA
31
W
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Nyva Ternopil
11
D
Cup
HFC Penuel Kriviy Rih
Metalist Kharkiv
01
W
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Oleksandria
02
L
Persha Liga
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Metalist Kharkiv
01
W
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Probiy Gorodenka
31
W
Recent matches ยท Yarud Mariupol
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
02
W
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Inhulets
41
W
Persha Liga
FK UCSA
Yarud Mariupol
12
W
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Nyva Ternopil
00
D
Persha Liga
Oleksandria
Yarud Mariupol
11
D
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
21
W
Persha Liga
Probiy Gorodenka
Yarud Mariupol
02
W
Cup
Yarud Mariupol
Zorya Lugansk
02
L
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
FC Kulykiv
11
D
Persha Liga
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Yarud Mariupol
13
W
Cup
Dinaz Vishgorod
Yarud Mariupol
06
W
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
FC Kolos Kovalivka 2
31
W
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Poltava FC
03
L
Persha Liga
Agrobiznes Volochisk
Yarud Mariupol
20
L
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Viktoria Nikolaevka
01
L
Head-to-Head ยท summary
2
Metalist Kharkiv
1
Draws
1
Yarud Mariupol
Previous meetings
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
02
Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
11
Persha Liga
Yarud Mariupol
Metalist Kharkiv
01
Cup
Yarud Mariupol
Metalist Kharkiv
13
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Viktoria Nikolaevka1374217:10+725
2Poltava FC1373324:11+1324
3Yarud Mariupol1373320:13+724
4Oleksandria1365219:11+823
5Agrobiznes Volochisk1272319:14+523
6FC Kulykiv1363426:17+921
7Nyva Ternopil1346315:11+418
8Lokomotiv Kyiv1345417:16+117
9Inhulets1252513:16-317
10Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk1344513:15-216
11Metal Kharkiv1343613:16-315
12FK UCSA1335518:21-314
13FC Kolos Kovalivka 21341812:22-1013
14FC Chernihiv1124512:16-410
15Probiy Gorodenka1323812:32-209
16Polissya Zhytomyr 21315718:27-98
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol Prediction (Apr 25, 2026)

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol prediction for the Persha Liga match on Apr 25, 2026. Metalist Kharkiv is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while the draw and away win both sit at 24%.

Team Form

Metalist Kharkiv's recent form reads L, L, W, W, D in their last five matches. Yarud Mariupol enters this contest with a stronger run of W, D, D, W, W in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last two head-to-head meetings, Metalist Kharkiv has won both encounters. The most recent clash was on Oct 9, 2025, where Metalist won 1-0 away. The only other meeting was in the Cup on Aug 18, 2021, with a 3-1 away victory for Metalist. Overall, Metalist Kharkiv leads the H2H with two wins and no defeats.

League Table Positions

Metalist Kharkiv (Metal Kharkiv) sits 7th in the Persha Liga with 37 points from 30 matches, while Yarud Mariupol is 9th with 36 points. The home side has collected 20 points from 15 home games, compared to Yarud's 14 points from 15 away trips. The table shows a minimal gap, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Win Probability: Metalist Kharkiv or Yarud Mariupol?

Based on the head-to-head record, league standings, and home advantage, Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance to win, a draw has a 24% probability, and Yarud Mariupol has a 24% chance. The numbers clearly favor the home team, but the draw is a real possibility given the tight league positions.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available at the moment. Our analysis, built on the available stats, points to a home victory for Metalist Kharkiv. The prediction is a Metalist Kharkiv win, though the narrow margin in the league suggests a closely fought encounter.

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol โ€” FAQ

Who will win Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol?
Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance of winning, a draw is at 24%, and Yarud Mariupol has a 24% chance. Based on the data, Metalist is the favorite.
What is the win probability for Metalist Kharkiv?
Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance to win this match. This is based on their superior head-to-head record (two wins in two meetings) and a slightly higher league position.
When is the Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol match?
The match is on April 25, 2026, at 12:00 UTC, in the Persha Liga competition.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmakers' odds are currently unavailable. When they appear, Metalist Kharkiv is expected to be the favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Metalist Kharkiv and Yarud Mariupol?
Metalist Kharkiv has won their last two meetings against Yarud Mariupol, with scores of 1-0 (2025) and 3-1 (2021). Yarud Mariupol has never beaten Metalist Kharkiv.
Metalist Kharkiv โ€“ Yarud Mariupol ยท match page