Metallurg Bekabad - Gazalkent prediction 26 October 2026

Metallurg Bekabad vs Gazalkent prediction for the Pro League match on Oct 26, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team form, Metallurg Bekabad are slight favorites with a 42% win probability, while Gazalkent have a 32% chance. The match kicks off at 12:00 and promises a tight contest between two in-form sides.

Team Form

Metallurg Bekabad come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W, D, D, W, W). They secured a 1-0 away win at FarDu Fergana on Oct 19, followed by a 1-1 home draw against Shurtan Guzar on Oct 13. Earlier, they played out a 0-0 draw at Kattaqorgon on Oct 8, and recorded back-to-back 1-0 home victories over Jayhun Nukus (Sep 20) and Pakhtakor Tashkent II (Sep 7). The defense has been solid, conceding just one goal in those five matches.

Gazalkent’s recent form is also strong, with four wins in their last five (L, W, W, W, W). The only defeat came in the Cup against Navbahor Namangan (1-3) on Oct 21. In the Pro League, they beat Shurtan Guzar 2-1 at home on Oct 17, won 2-1 at Jayhun Nukus on Oct 12, edged Pakhtakor Tashkent II 3-2 at home on Oct 8, and thrashed PFC Terdu 4-1 away on Sep 22. Gazalkent have scored 12 goals in those five games, showing attacking firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on Jul 23, 2026. Gazalkent won that Pro League encounter 3-2 at home. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Metallurg Bekabad, 0 draws, and 1 win for Gazalkent.

League Table Positions

Gazalkent currently sit 4th in the Pro League overall standings with 41 points from 23 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 43 goals and conceded 27. Metallurg Bekabad’s league position is not available in the provided data, but Gazalkent’s top-four status underlines their consistency this season.

Win Probability: Metallurg Bekabad or Gazalkent?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Metallurg Bekabad win: 42%
• Draw: 26%
• Gazalkent win: 32%

The bookmakers’ average odds (home 1.97, draw 3.39, away 3.10) imply a 45% home win chance after removing the margin. However, Gazalkent’s outstanding away record (8 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in the league) and their 3-2 H2H victory shift the balance slightly. Metallurg Bekabad’s unbeaten run and home advantage keep them as marginal favorites, but Gazalkent are well-equipped to take points. Overall, Metallurg Bekabad are more likely to win, but the match is too close to rule out a draw or an away upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Metallurg Bekabad as the favorite, with best odds of 2.05 for a home win. The draw is priced as high as 4.03, while an away win for Gazalkent can be backed at 3.25. These odds reflect the home side’s slight edge.

Our prediction: based on the stats, this should be a competitive fixture. Metallurg Bekabad’s defensive solidity meets Gazalkent’s attacking form. A narrow home win or a draw are the most likely outcomes. We lean towards a Metallurg Bekabad victory, but a low-scoring draw cannot be discounted.