Kattaqorgon - Metallurg Bekabad prediction 8 October 2026
Kattaqorgon
Metallurg Bekabad
Turan YaypanKattaqorgonKattaqorgonLochinFarDu FerganaKattaqorgonKattaqorgonMetallurg BekabadBuxDU BuxoroKattaqorgonKattaqorgonRespublika FAAral Samali PFKKattaqorgonKattaqorgonGazalkentShurtan GuzarKattaqorgonKattaqorgonJayhun NukusKattaqorgonPakhtakor Tashkent IIPFC TerduKattaqorgonKattaqorgonTuran YaypanLochinKattaqorgonKattaqorgonFarDu FerganaMetallurg BekabadGazalkentFarDu FerganaMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadShurtan GuzarKattaqorgonMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadJayhun NukusMetallurg BekabadPakhtakor Tashkent IIBuxDU BuxoroMetallurg BekabadPFC TerduMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadRespublika FAMetallurg BekabadTuran YaypanAral Samali PFKMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadLochinGazalkentMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadFarDu FerganaShurtan GuzarMetallurg BekabadKattaqorgonMetallurg BekabadMetallurg BekabadKattaqorgon| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aral Samali PFK | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 49:14 | +35 | 58 |
| 2 |  Metalourg | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | +34 | 48 |
| 3 |  Shurtan Guzar | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 40:23 | +17 | 46 |
| 4 |  FarDu Fergana | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 41:34 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Gazalkent | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 45:29 | +16 | 42 |
| 6 | Kattaqorgon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 32:24 | +8 | 40 |
| 7 |  Olimpik Mobiuz | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 39 |
| 8 |  Lochin | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:32 | +7 | 39 |
| 9 |  Respublika FA | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 |  Jayhun Nukus | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 |  Turan Yaypan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 |  BuxDU Buxoro | 24 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 25:56 | -31 | 16 |
| 13 |  Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 24 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 18:54 | -36 | 13 |
| 14 |  PFC Terdu | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12:60 | -48 | 4 |
Kattaqorgon vs Metallurg Bekabad Prediction (Oct 8)
Our Kattaqorgon vs Metallurg Bekabad prediction for the Pro League match on October 8, 2026, at 12:00 leans towards an away win. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Metallurg Bekabad has a 45% chance of winning, while Kattaqorgon sits at 30% and the draw at 25%.
Team Form
Kattaqorgonโs last five matches show a worrying trend: W, L, L, L, L. Their only win in that run was a 2-0 away victory at BuxDU Buxoro on Sep 13. At home, they lost 3-1 to Respublika FA and 4-2 to Gazalkent, conceding seven goals in those two games alone.
Metallurg Bekabad, in contrast, are flying. Their last five results read W, W, W, W, W. They kept clean sheets in four of those wins, including a 4-0 demolition of BuxDU Buxoro and a 3-0 victory at PFC Terdu. The only goal they conceded in this streak was a consolation in a 3-1 home win over Respublika FA.
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw on May 31, 2026. That match, also in the Pro League, saw Metallurg Bekabad host Kattaqorgon. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Kattaqorgon, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Metallurg Bekabad.
League Table Positions
Kattaqorgon currently occupy 5th place in the Pro League with 33 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 24 goals and conceded 17. Metallurg Bekabad are not listed in the provided league standings, so a direct positional comparison cannot be made.
Win Probability: Kattaqorgon or Metallurg Bekabad?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Kattaqorgon 30%, draw 25%, Metallurg Bekabad 45%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.25, draw 3.50, away 2.62), which imply a 40% home win, 26% draw, and 34% away win after removing the margin. However, the massive gulf in recent form forces a significant adjustment. Metallurg Bekabadโs perfect five-match winning run, all with strong defensive displays, contrasts sharply with Kattaqorgonโs four losses in five. Therefore, the away side is the more likely winner, despite the odds initially favouring the home team.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced the match with Kattaqorgon at 2.25, the draw at 3.50, and an away win for Metallurg Bekabad at 2.62. These odds make Kattaqorgon the narrow favourite, but our analysis of the form and the head-to-head draw suggests value on the away side. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Metallurg Bekabad victory.
Kattaqorgon vs Metallurg Bekabad โ FAQ
- Who will win Kattaqorgon vs Metallurg Bekabad?
- Metallurg Bekabad are the more likely winners with a 45% probability. Kattaqorgon have a 30% chance, and the draw is rated at 25%. This assessment is based on Metallurg Bekabadโs five-match winning streak and Kattaqorgonโs poor recent form.
- What is the win probability for Metallurg Bekabad?
- Metallurg Bekabad have a 45% chance of winning this Pro League fixture. The probability is adjusted upwards from the bookmaker-implied 34% due to their perfect form of five consecutive victories, while Kattaqorgon have lost four of their last five.
- When is the Kattaqorgon vs Metallurg Bekabad match?
- The match is scheduled for October 8, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It will be played in the Uzbekistan Pro League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Kattaqorgon home win at 2.25, the draw at 3.50, and Metallurg Bekabad away win at 2.62. These odds indicate the bookmakers see Kattaqorgon as slight favourites.