Mexico - Peru prediction 30 September 2026
Mexico
PeruMexico
ChileUSAMexicoMexicoPeruMexicoColombiaMexicoEnglandMexicoEcuadorCzech RepublicMexicoMexicoKorea RepublicMexicoSouth AfricaMexicoSerbiaMexicoAustraliaMexicoGhanaMexicoBelgiumMexicoPortugalMexicoIcelandColombiaPeruCanadaPeruMexicoPeruUSAPeruPeruSpainHaitiPeruPeruHondurasSenegalPeruPeruBoliviaChilePerurussiaPeruChilePeruPeruParaguayUruguayPeruPeruEcuador- 4V. GuzmรกnD
- 12I. ViolanteM
- 18O. VargasM
- 23ร. GarcรญaG
- 25O. PinedaM
- 16J. MรกrquezM
- 5D. GarcรญaD
- 25E. LรณpezD
- 5M. ChรกvezD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 15รlvaro FidalgoM
- 3D. Campillo
- 22H. Lozano
- 6ร. Lira
- 3J. Sรกnchez
- 25R. Alvarado
- 20J. Gallardo
- 34A. Gonzรกlez
- 13รlex Padilla
- 22J. Vรกsquez
- 24L. Chรกvez
- 7L. Romo
- 14H. Camberos
- 10G. Mora
- 30Santiago Sandoval
- 29S. Gimรฉnez
- 8E. NoriegaM
- 1P. GalleseG
- 16W. CartagenaD
- 15M. LรณpezD
- 19Y. YotรบnF
- 13M. HuamรกnM
- 23P. MagallanesF
- 20J. VรฉlezM
- 90A. UgarrizaF
- 6R. GarcรฉsD
- 24O. MoraD
- 22O. Sonne
- 1D. Romero
- 20A. Valera
- 20M. Araujo
- 19A. Carrillo
- 12M. Cรณrdova
- 18G. Lapadula
- 33C. Inga
- 25Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
- 11J. Vidales
- 8J. Pretell
- 5A. Barco
- 17J. Concha
- 24B. Soyer
- 45Matias Zegarra
MexicoPeruMexicoPeruMexico vs Peru Prediction (Sep 30)
The Mexico vs Peru prediction for this Friendly International match on Sep 30 at 02:00 points to a clear favorite. Based on the latest odds and team form, Mexico has a strong chance of winning, with an estimated 62% win probability.
Team Form
Mexico's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Colombia on Sep 27. Before that, they suffered a 2-3 loss to England in the World Cup, but bounced back with three consecutive wins: 2-0 against Ecuador, 3-0 against Czech Republic, and 1-0 against Korea Republic.
Peru comes into this match with a much weaker run of results. Their last five matches show one win, one draw, and three losses. They are coming off a heavy 1-4 defeat to USA on Sep 26. Their only win in this period was a 2-1 victory against Haiti, with losses to Spain (1-3) and Senegal (0-2), and a 2-2 draw with Honduras.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met once in the available head-to-head data. Mexico won that encounter 1-0 in a Friendly International on Sep 25, 2022. Mexico holds a perfect record with 1 win, while Peru has 0 wins and there have been 0 draws.
League Table Positions
This is a Friendly International match, so no league table positions or points are available for this fixture.
Win Probability: Mexico or Peru?
Mexico has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Peru has a 15% chance. These probabilities are calculated using the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.44, draw 2.10, away 6.00), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted to reflect Mexico's superior recent form and their head-to-head win. Mexico's strong World Cup performances and home advantage in this neutral-venue friendly further support their favorite status.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Mexico as the clear favorite. The best available odds are 1.44 for a Mexico win, 2.10 for a draw, and 6.00 for a Peru win. Based on the stats, Mexico is the most likely winner. Their consistent scoring form contrasts with Peru's defensive struggles, having conceded 12 goals in their last five matches. A Mexico win is the predicted outcome.
Mexico vs Peru โ FAQ
- Who will win Mexico vs Peru?
- Mexico is the strong favorite to win this match. Our analysis gives Mexico a 62% chance of winning, while Peru has a 15% chance, and the draw is at 23%.
- What is the win probability for Mexico?
- Mexico has a 62% win probability. This is based on their superior recent form with three wins in five matches, a head-to-head victory, and the best bookmaker odds of 1.44.
- When is the Mexico vs Peru match?
- The match is on Sep 30 at 02:00. It is a Friendly International fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.44 for a Mexico win, 2.10 for a draw, and 6.00 for a Peru win. Other bookmakers offer similar odds, with Mexico consistently priced as the favorite.