Mictlan - CSD Chiquimulilla prediction 4 October 2026

The Mictlan vs CSD Chiquimulilla prediction points towards a home victory in this Primera Division clash on Oct 4, 2026, at 18:00. Based on the available data, Mictlan has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and CSD Chiquimulilla has a 24% chance. Mictlan enters the match as the favorite, backed by stronger recent form and a positive head-to-head record.

Team Form

Mictlan's recent form is solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches (W, W, D, W, D). They scored 14 goals in these games, including a 4-1 away win against Deportivo Achuapa and a 3-0 victory at AFF Guatemala. CSD Chiquimulilla has been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses (W, W, L, L, L). They suffered narrow 1-0 defeats to AFF Guatemala and Deportivo Achuapa, but managed a 2-0 away win at Champs Academy Guatemala.

Head-to-Head Record

In their last five meetings, Mictlan leads with 3 wins to CSD Chiquimulilla's 2, with no draws. The most recent encounter on Aug 16, 2026, saw Mictlan win 2-1 away. At home, Mictlan has been dominant, winning 3-0 in May 2025 and 3-1 in January 2025. CSD Chiquimulilla's wins both came at home (3-2 in May 2025 and 2-1 in March 2025). The head-to-head record clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 8 of the overall Primera Division standings, indicating they are mid-table or lower. The available table shows Suchitepequez leading with 37 points. Mictlan's home form is not listed, but their recent home results (two wins, two draws) suggest they are competitive at their own ground. CSD Chiquimulilla's away form is also not in the top 8, and their recent away losses highlight struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Mictlan or CSD Chiquimulilla?

Mictlan has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and CSD Chiquimulilla has a 24% chance. This calculation is based on the head-to-head record (Mictlan leads 3-2), recent form (Mictlan is unbeaten in five, while Chiquimulilla has three losses in five), and the home advantage factor. Without specific odds to normalize, the estimation weights form and H2H heavily. Mictlan is the more likely winner, but Chiquimulilla's two H2H wins show they can cause an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available for this match. Based on the stats, Mictlan is the predicted winner. Their strong home record in recent H2H matches (two convincing wins) and current unbeaten run give them a clear edge. CSD Chiquimulilla's away form is a concern, with back-to-back 1-0 losses. A home win is the most probable outcome, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Mictlan's two recent home draws.