Nueva Santa Rosa CDF - Mictlan prediction 1 October 2026

The Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Mictlan prediction for October 1, 2026 shows a tight Primera Division contest in Guatemala, with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF has a 45% chance of winning, while Mictlan sits at 25% and the draw is estimated at 30%.

Team Form

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF comes into this match on a flawless five-game winning streak. On Sep 20 they beat Deportivo Fraijanes 2-1 at home. Away victories followed against Champs Academy Guatemala (1-0 on Sep 12) and CSD Chiquimulilla (2-1 on Sep 6). On Aug 30 they defeated CSD Sacachispas 2-1 at home, and on Aug 20 they cruised past AFF Guatemala 2-0 at home. That’s five wins, 9 goals scored and only 2 conceded in those five.

Mictlan are also in strong form, unbeaten in their last five with three wins and two draws. Most recently they drew 1-1 at home to CSD Sacachispas on Sep 27. Before that they thrashed Deportivo Achuapa 4-1 away on Sep 20, drew 2-2 at home to San Benito on Sep 13, beat Deportivo Fraijanes 4-2 at home on Sep 6, and won 3-0 away at AFF Guatemala on Aug 29. Mictlan have scored 14 goals in these five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between the two sides happened on Aug 13, 2026. That day Mictlan hosted Nueva Santa Rosa CDF and won 2-0. The historical head-to-head stands at 1 win for Mictlan, 0 for Nueva Santa Rosa CDF, and 0 draws.

Win Probability: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF or Mictlan?

We calculate the probabilities purely from the available stats: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF has a 45% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Mictlan has a 25% chance. The reasoning gives weight to the home side’s perfect run of five straight wins, which includes three clean sheets. Mictlan’s unbeaten streak and the fact they won the only H2H clash (albeit at home) keep them competitive. However, playing away against a team in such red-hot home form reduces their chances slightly, making a draw a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds are not provided in the current data set, so this prediction is built exclusively on recent results and head-to-head. Considering the stats, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF looks the more likely winner, but Mictlan’s resilience makes the match a potential draw. A cautious bet would be on the home side with a “double chance” cover, or backing under 2.5 total goals given the defensive solidity of both teams in recent outings.