Polonia Nysa - Miedz II Legnica prediction 2 October 2026

Our Polonia Nysa vs Miedz II Legnica prediction for the III Liga match on October 2, 2026, at 18:00 local time points to an away win for Miedz II Legnica. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Miedz II Legnica has a 50% chance of winning, while Polonia Nysa has a 25% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Polonia Nysa's recent form is poor, with one win and four losses in their last five matches. They managed an away victory at Kluczbork (3-1) on September 26 but have otherwise struggled. Their home record is particularly worrying: three consecutive defeats at home to Rakow Czestochowa II (0-2), Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1-2), and Sleza Wroclaw (1-3). They also lost heavily away at Bks Sparta Katowice (0-4). In those three home losses, they conceded 7 goals and scored only 2, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Miedz II Legnica, on the other hand, has been in good shape with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their only defeat came at home to Bks Sparta Katowice (0-2) on September 26. Before that, they enjoyed a run of three wins and a draw: an away win at Sleza Wroclaw (5-3), a home win over LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (5-0), an away win at Stal Brzeg (4-2), and a home draw with Stilon Gorzow (2-2). Their away form is particularly strong, with two consecutive victories and 9 goals scored in those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Polonia Nysa and Miedz II Legnica is evenly balanced with two wins each and one draw in five meetings. The home team has won every encounter except for a 0-0 draw in April 2021. The most recent match in November 2025 ended in a 7-2 victory for Miedz II Legnica at home, a result that underlines their attacking threat in this fixture.

• Nov 2025: Miedz II Legnica 7-2 Polonia Nysa
• Aug 2025: Polonia Nysa 4-0 Miedz II Legnica
• Jun 2023: Miedz II Legnica 3-1 Polonia Nysa
• Nov 2022: Polonia Nysa 2-0 Miedz II Legnica
• Apr 2021: Miedz II Legnica 0-0 Polonia Nysa

League Table Positions

Neither Polonia Nysa nor Miedz II Legnica feature in the top 12 of the III Liga standings, indicating both teams are in the lower half of the table. Without exact positions, a direct comparison is not possible, but the absence from the top half suggests both have struggled this season. Miedz II Legnica's recent upturn in form may see them climb, while Polonia Nysa's poor run could keep them near the bottom.

Win Probability: Polonia Nysa or Miedz II Legnica?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Polonia Nysa 25%, Draw 25%, Miedz II Legnica 50%. The away team is the clear favorite due to their excellent recent away performances (two consecutive wins) and Polonia Nysa's poor home form (three straight losses). While the historical head-to-head shows a strong home advantage, current form heavily favors Miedz II Legnica. The draw probability of 25% accounts for the possibility of a tight contest, as seen in the 0-0 draw in 2021. Polonia Nysa's 25% chance reflects their historical home success in this matchup, but their current struggles make an upset unlikely. Therefore, Miedz II Legnica has a 50% chance of winning this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. However, our analysis points to an away win for Miedz II Legnica. Considering the form and head-to-head stats, the most likely outcome is a victory for the visitors. For betting tips, backing Miedz II Legnica to win could be a sensible option based on the stats. Given the recent goal trends—Miedz II Legnica scoring freely away and Polonia Nysa conceding at home—over 2.5 goals might also be worth considering. The final prediction is a Miedz II Legnica win.