Migori Youth - Kenya Police FC prediction 11 October 2026
Migori Youth
Kenya Police FCMigori Youth
Mathare UnitedUlinzi StarsMigori YouthMigori YouthKenya Police FCGor MahiaMigori Youth3K FCMigori YouthKisumuMigori YouthMigori YouthKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthKabati Youth FCMigori YouthMigori YouthNaivasLuanda VillaMigori YouthMigori YouthFC TalantaVihiga United Mulembe UtdMigori YouthMigori YouthDarajani GogoSoy United FCMigori YouthKenya Police FCAFC Leopards SCMigori YouthKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCTuskerKenya Police FCKenya Police FCKakamega HomeboyzKenya Police FCKariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedKenya Police FCKenya Police FCBandariGor MahiaKenya Police FCKenya Police FCMuranga SealShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCAFC Leopards SCKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMigori YouthKenya Police FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Migori Youth vs Kenya Police FC Prediction (Oct 11)
The Migori Youth vs Kenya Police FC prediction for October 11, 2026, sees the visitors as the clear favorite. This Premier League match kicks off at 13:00, and based on our analysis, Kenya Police FC has a 48% chance of winning, while Migori Youth sits at a 24% probability.
Team Form
Migori Youth's recent form shows a pattern of resilience. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins and three draws (W, W, D, D, D). Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw against Gor Mahia in a Friendly Clubs match on August 16. Before that, they secured a 1-0 home victory over Kibera Black Stars in the Super League on May 23.
Kenya Police FC's recent form is heavily skewed towards draws. Their last five results show four draws and one loss (D, L, D, D, D). Their latest match was a 0-0 stalemate against Shabana FC in the Premier League on October 3. The only loss in this sequence came against Tusker in a Cup match on June 14, where they were defeated 2-1.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Migori Youth and Kenya Police FC. The available data shows zero wins for the home side, zero draws, and zero wins for the away side, indicating this will be the first competitive meeting between the two clubs.
League Table Positions
Both teams are yet to play a match in the current Premier League season. The standings show all teams with zero points, zero goals scored, and zero goals conceded. Migori Youth is listed at rank 11, while Kenya Police FC, listed as "Police," sits at rank 10 in the overall table.
Win Probability: Migori Youth or Kenya Police FC?
After analyzing the available data, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Kenya Police FC has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Migori Youth has a 24% chance. These percentages are based on the bookmaker odds, which heavily favor the away side, and are adjusted for the teams' recent form. Kenya Police FC's experience in the Premier League, compared to Migori Youth's recent matches in the Super League, gives them a significant edge, despite their tendency to draw. The lack of a home advantage in the head-to-head data and the even league table also factor into this balanced probability model.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds clearly point to an away win. One bookmaker prices a Kenya Police FC victory at 1.92, while another offers 1.91. The draw is priced around 2.85 to 2.88, and a Migori Youth home win is a long shot at 3.95 to 4.20. Based on the stats and the calculated win probability, the most likely outcome is a victory for Kenya Police FC. However, given their high number of recent draws, a stalemate is a very realistic possibility. Our prediction is an away win, but with caution.
Migori Youth vs Kenya Police FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Migori Youth vs Kenya Police FC?
- Kenya Police FC is the most likely winner. Our analysis gives them a 48% chance of victory, while Migori Youth has a 24% chance, and the draw has a 28% probability.
- What is the win probability for Kenya Police FC?
- Kenya Police FC has a 48% chance of winning this match. This is based on bookmaker odds that heavily favor them and their status as a Premier League side, adjusted for their recent form of four draws in five games.
- When is the Migori Youth vs Kenya Police FC match?
- The match is scheduled for October 11, 2026. Kick-off is at 13:00 local time, and it is a Premier League fixture in Kenya.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Kenya Police FC win are around 1.91 to 1.92. A draw is priced between 2.85 and 2.88, and a Migori Youth victory is available at odds of 3.95 to 4.20.