Hluboka nad Vltavou - Milevsko prediction 18 September 2026

The Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Milevsko prediction for the Czech 4 Liga match on September 18, 2026, points to a clear home favourite. Hluboka nad Vltavou have a 58% chance of winning according to our probability model, leaving Milevsko with just a 14% shot at an upset.

Team Form

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Hluboka nad Vltavou come into this match in strong form. Their last five results in all competitions: a 3-1 away win over FK Mas Taborsko II, a 2-2 home draw with Sobeslav, a 0-2 home loss to Viktoria Zizkov (Czech Cup), a 1-0 away win at Jiskra Domazlice B, and a 1-0 home win against Petrin Plzen. In 4 Liga action, the team is unbeaten this season with three wins and two draws from five matches, scoring nine goals and conceding only five. This solid form sees them sitting in the top half of the table.

Milevsko

Milevsko, on the other hand, are struggling badly. Their last five outings have returned no wins: a 0-3 home defeat to Jiskra Domazlice B, a 0-3 away loss at Petrin Plzen, a 0-1 home defeat to Horovicko, a 1-2 away loss at Slavoj Cesky Krumlov, and a 0-0 home draw with FK Komarov. That's four losses and one draw, with a single goal scored in those five games. Milevsko find themselves well down the league table and desperately need a turnaround.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before in the available records: a 3-3 draw on November 6, 2022, when Milevsko hosted Hluboka nad Vltavou in the 5 Liga. That fixture ended all square, so the limited head-to-head history offers little to separate the sides, though it does hint at the possibility of goals.

League Table Positions

In the 4 Liga standings, Hluboka nad Vltavou occupy 6th place with 11 points from five matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 9 goals and conceded 5, giving them a positive goal difference. Milevsko are not among the top 12 teams in the available table, pointing to a much lower position. Their current run of form suggests they are likely in the bottom half, struggling for consistency at both ends of the pitch.

Win Probability: Hluboka nad Vltavou or Milevsko?

We've analysed the match odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions to calculate the probabilities for all three outcomes. Bookmakers' odds (home win 1.73, draw 2.75, away win 6.50) imply a 53% chance for a Hluboka win after adjusting for the bookmaker margin. However, when we factor in the teams' current form — Hluboka unbeaten in the league and Milevsko losing four of their last five — the true likelihood shifts further in the home side's favour. Our final win probability assessment:

• Hluboka nad Vltavou win: 58%
• Draw: 28%
• Milevsko win: 14%

Hluboka nad Vltavou clearly has the higher chance of taking all three points, with home advantage and superior form giving them a commanding edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from the data show Hluboka nad Vltavou to win at 1.73, a draw at 2.75, and an away victory for Milevsko at a long 6.50. These numbers align with the home team's status as the heavy favourite. Based on the stats, the team form, and the wide gap in league performance, we predict a home win for Hluboka nad Vltavou in this Czech 4 Liga clash.