Milsami - Cf Ungheni prediction 27 October 2026

The Milsami vs Cf Ungheni prediction for the Cup match on October 27, 2026, points to Milsami as the strong favorite with a 60% win probability. This Moldovan cup tie kicks off at 14:00, and historical data heavily backs the home side despite some recent inconsistencies.

Team Form

Milsami come into this fixture off the back of a 2-1 away defeat to Petrocub on October 24. Their last five results show one win, two draws, and two losses (L, D, D, W, L). The lone victory was a 2-1 away success against FC Real Sireti on September 20. Home draws against Zimbru Chisinau (1-1) and FC Politehnica Chisinau (3-3), plus a 1-0 home loss to Sheriff Tiraspol, underline their vulnerability at home.

Cf Ungheni's recent away form reads L, W, L, D, W across their last five matches. They lost 3-2 at home to Iskra Stal Ribnita but then won 3-1 away at Zimbru Chisinau 2, lost a high-scoring 5-4 thriller at Floresti, drew 1-1 at home with Victoria Bardar, and beat Victoria Bardar 2-1 away. That gives them two wins from the last five, slightly better than Milsami's recent output.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record stands at 3 wins for Milsami, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Cf Ungheni. The most recent encounter was in the same competition, the Cup, on October 27, 2021, when Milsami cruised to a 5-1 home victory. Earlier meetings in Liga 1 in 2017 saw Milsami win 2-0 away on both occasions. Milsami have never dropped points to this opponent.

Win Probability: Milsami or Cf Ungheni?

Based on the available data, the win probability calculation gives Milsami a 60% chance of winning, a 25% chance of a draw, and Cf Ungheni a 15% chance of an away victory. The percentages are derived from the one-sided head-to-head record (3-0-0 to Milsami), home advantage, and the two sides' recent form. While Milsami have struggled lately with only one win in five, their historical dominance and home factor justify a clear favorite status. Cf Ungheni's slightly better recent record keeps the draw possibility alive, but a full upset remains unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, Milsami are the expected winners. A home victory is the most probable match outcome, and the head-to-head record suggests a win to nil cannot be ruled out. The prediction is therefore a Milsami win, with the draw as the secondary consideration.