Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancun FC prediction 11 October 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas
Cancun FCMineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDGCruz Azul HidalgoMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCAlacranes de DurangoMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasPiratas VeracruzCD Tepatitlan de MorelosMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasAtletico MoreliaAtletico La PazMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasTampico MaderoCD TapatioMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasVenados FCDorados de SinaloaMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasTlaxcala FCMineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos UATCD Tepatitlan de MorelosMineros de ZacatecasCD Tepatitlan de MorelosCancun FCCancun FCVenados FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCCancun FCCD TapatioTlaxcala FCCancun FCCancun FCAlebrijes de OaxacaDorados de SinaloaCancun FCCorrecaminos UATCancun FCCancun FCCruz Azul HidalgoCancun FCAtletico La PazPiratas VeracruzCancun FCCancun FCAlacranes de DurangoAtletico MoreliaCancun FCCancun FCLeones Negros UDGDorados de SinaloaCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasCancun FCCancun FCMineros de ZacatecasMineros de ZacatecasCancun FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Cancun FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  CD Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos UAT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 |
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC Prediction (Oct 11)
The Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC prediction points to a home-favored Liga de Expansion MX fixture on October 11, 2026 at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba. Based on odds and team stats, Mineros de Zacatecas has a 45% win probability, the draw lands at 32%, and Cancun FC at 23%.
Team Form
Mineros de Zacatecas come into this match with an inconsistent last five results: L, W, W, L, L. Their most recent outing was a 4-2 away defeat to Alacranes de Durango on October 4. At home, they comfortably beat Piratas Veracruz 3-0 two weeks earlier, but lost 0-1 to Atletico Morelia before that. Mineros have scored 23 goals in 11 games this season.
Cancun FC's last five away matches show W, L, W, D, D. They won 1-0 at home against CD Tapatio, but suffered a heavy 4-1 loss at Tlaxcala FC and drew two consecutive away games (1-1 at Dorados de Sinaloa, 2-2 at Correcaminos UAT). Cancun have found the net 19 times in 11 league appearances.
Head-to-Head Record
In 13 previous meetings, Mineros de Zacatecas own 5 wins, Cancun FC lead with 6 wins, and 2 draws have occurred. The last H2H fixture (Feb 15, 2026) saw Cancun cruise to a 4-1 home victory. At the Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, the recent trend is tighter: a 0-0 draw (Sep 2025), a 1-1 draw (Feb 2025), a 0-2 Cancun win (Feb 2024), and a 1-0 Mineros win (Nov 2023). This suggests a balanced head-to-head at this venue.
League Table Positions
Both clubs sit neck-and-neck in the overall standings: Mineros de Zacatecas are 6th with 17 points (5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses; goals 23-19), while Cancun FC are 7th also on 17 points (5-2-4, goals 19-15). The home/away split reveals a clear advantage: Mineros boast the 3rd-best home record in the division (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 16 scored, 6 conceded), whereas Cancun rank 8th in away form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 6 scored, 11 conceded).
Win Probability: Mineros de Zacatecas or Cancun FC?
Using prematch odds (average overround removed) as a base and adjusting for home/away form and H2H data, we calculate the following outcome chances:
- Mineros de Zacatecas win: 45%
- Draw: 32%
- Cancun FC win: 23%
The home side's strong Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba record (16 goals scored in 6 games) and Cancunโs away fragility (just 1 win in 5 road trips) give Mineros the edge. However, the recent H2H draws and the overall table similarity keep the draw probability relatively high. Mineros de Zacatecas are the most likely winner according to the data.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds ranges across the market: home win 2.05โ2.25, draw 2.22โ3.63, away win 3.10โ3.60. The odds clearly favor Mineros de Zacatecas. Our analysis aligns with that view, but with the caution that Cancun FC have historically performed well in this matchup. The final prediction: Mineros de Zacatecas to win, though a scoring draw cannot be ruled out based on the numbers.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC?
- Mineros de Zacatecas have a 45% chance of winning, compared to a 23% chance for Cancun FC and a 32% probability of a draw. The home side is favored based on their strong form at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba and Cancun's poor away record.
- What is the win probability for Mineros de Zacatecas?
- Mineros de Zacatecas have a 45% win probability. This is driven by their 3rd-place home ranking (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and Cancun FCโs away weakness, where they have only 1 win in 5 away games this season.
- When is the Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancun FC match?
- The match takes place on October 11, 2026, kicking off at 02:00 AM local time (UTC+1). It is a Liga de Expansion MX fixture hosted at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba in Zacatecas, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Prematch 1X2 odds range from 2.05 to 2.25 for a Mineros de Zacatecas win, 2.22 to 3.63 for the draw, and 3.10 to 3.60 for a Cancun FC win. The market clearly prices the home team as favorites.