Mirandela - ARS Sao Martinho prediction 12 April 2026
Mirandela
ARS Sao Martinho
BritoMirandelaMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoVianenseMirandelaMirandelaTirsenseGD Chaves BMirandelaMirandelaLimianosDesportivo MoncaoMirandelaBragancaMirandelaMirandelaCD Ribeira BravaCD CeloricenseMirandelaMirandelaVilaverdenseCamachaMirandelaMirandelaMachicoMirandelaBritoARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoDesportivo MoncaoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoCD Ribeira BravaCD CeloricenseARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoVilaverdenseCamachaARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoMachicoBritoARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoBragancaARS Sao MartinhoVianenseCD Ribeira BravaARS Sao MartinhoTirsenseARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoGD Chaves BLimianosARS Sao MartinhoDesportivo MoncaoARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandelaARS Sao MartinhoMirandela| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GD Chaves B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Sporting Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 |  Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Braganca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Vila Mea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  CD Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  AD Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 |  Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 |  Brito | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 |  Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 |  Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 0 |
Mirandela vs ARS Sao Martinho Prediction (Apr 12)
Our Mirandela vs ARS Sao Martinho prediction for the Campeonato de Portugal match on April 12, 2026, sees ARS Sao Martinho as the favourite with a 40% win probability. The data points to a closely contested match, with the visitors having a slight edge thanks to a stronger recent record and a clear advantage in the historical head-to-head.
Team Form
Mirandela's last four competitive matches (excluding this fixture) show just one win and three defeats. Their most recent results in that run were a 0-1 away loss to Vianense, a 0-1 home defeat to Tirsense, and a 2-1 away win at GD Chaves B. A 0-2 loss away to Brito came after this match.
ARS Sao Martinho picked up two wins, one draw, and one loss in their four preโmatch outings. That run included a 2-0 home victory over CD Ribeira Brava, a 0-0 away draw at CD Celoricense, and a 0-1 home loss to Vilaverdense. A 3-1 home win against Desportivo Moncao occurred after this fixture.
Head-to-Head Record
In 12 previous meetings (prior to this match), Mirandela had won just twice, with five draws and five wins for ARS Sao Martinho. The two most recent encounters both ended in away victories: ARS Sao Martinho won 2-0 at Mirandela in October 2021, and Mirandela returned the favour with a 1-0 away win in December 2025. Home advantage has not been a decisive factor in this fixture.
Win Probability: Mirandela or ARS Sao Martinho?
Based on the form and head-to-head data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:
- Mirandela win: 25%
- Draw: 35%
- ARS Sao Martinho win: 40%
ARS Sao Martinho enters the match with clearly better recent form and a far superior all-time head-to-head record (5 wins to Mirandela's 2). Although playing away, those numbers make them the more likely winner. Mirandela's only two wins in 12 previous meetings came on the road, so a home victory looks unlikely. The draw rate of over 40% in this fixture also supports a high chance of a stalemate.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this Campeonato de Portugal fixture. Based purely on the statistical profile, the safest prediction is a double chance on ARS Sao Martinho or the draw. A low-scoring affair is also consistent with the history, where only one of the last five meetings saw more than two goals.
Mirandela vs ARS Sao Martinho โ FAQ
- Who will win Mirandela vs ARS Sao Martinho?
- ARS Sao Martinho has the best chance to win at 40%, with the draw at 35% and Mirandela at 25%. The visitorsโ better recent form and dominant head-to-head record make them the likelier winners.
- What is the win probability for ARS Sao Martinho?
- ARS Sao Martinhoโs win probability is 40%. This is based on their superior recent results (2W-1D-1L vs Mirandelaโs 1W-3L in the last four) and an all-time head-to-head lead of 5 wins to 2 before this match.
- When is the Mirandela vs ARS Sao Martinho match?
- The match is on April 12, 2026, kicking off at 15:00 local time. It is part of the Campeonato de Portugal, the third tier of Portuguese football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No live or pre-match odds are available for this fixture. All analysis is therefore based on statistical form, head-to-head results, and historical match data.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mirandela and ARS Sao Martinho?
- Before this match, the head-to-head record stood at 2 wins for Mirandela, 5 draws, and 5 wins for ARS Sao Martinho from 12 meetings. Both of Mirandelaโs wins came away from home.