Misr Lel Makasa - Tel Bani Swaif prediction 30 September 2026

Misr Lel Makasa vs Tel Bani Swaif prediction for the Egypt Second Division clash on Sep 30 at 14:30. Based on our analysis of recent form, head-to-head records, and available odds, Misr Lel Makasa enters this match as the favorite with a 45% chance of winning, while Tel Bani Swaif struggles with a mere 20% probability. The draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Misr Lel Makasa’s last five matches (most recent first): L 1-2 vs Cascada SC, W 1-0 at Mallawi SC, L 0-1 vs El Alameen, D 0-0 at Sila SC, W 5-0 vs Tamiya Youth Center. That gives them two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They have shown inconsistency but can dominate weaker sides, as seen in the 5-0 thrashing.

Tel Bani Swaif’s form is alarming: L 1-6 at Al Nasr Cairo, L 0-4 vs Nogoom El Mostakbal, D 0-0 vs Cascada SC, L 0-1 vs Team FC Cairo, L 0-1 vs Mallawi SC. Four losses and a single draw from their last five outings, with only one goal scored and twelve conceded. This dreadful run makes them clear underdogs.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Misr Lel Makasa won 1, Tel Bani Swaif won 2, and 3 ended in draws. The most recent encounter on Nov 24 2025 saw Tel Bani Swaif edge a 1-0 away win. Prior to that, a 1-1 draw in the Cup on Nov 6 2025, and a 3-0 home victory for Misr Lel Makasa on Feb 7 2025. Overall, the head-to-head shows close contests, with draws occurring frequently.

Win Probability: Misr Lel Makasa or Tel Bani Swaif?

We calculate the probabilities as follows: Misr Lel Makasa win 45%, draw 35%, Tel Bani Swaif win 20% (total 100%). The bookmakers’ odds of 1.10 for all three outcomes suggest an equal chance on paper, but that is clearly distorted. Factoring in the huge gulf in form — Tel Bani Swaif’s dreadful run of four losses in five — and the home advantage for Misr Lel Makasa, we adjust significantly. The home side is more likely to secure victory, yet the historical head-to-head trend of draws keeps a high probability for a stalemate. Thus, Misr Lel Makasa is the team more likely to win.

Misr Lel Makasa vs Tel Bani Swaif Prediction: Odds & Betting Tips

The only available odds show 1.10 for a home win, 1.10 for the draw, and 1.10 for an away win. These bookmaker odds are uninformative due to their uniformity, so we rely on statistical analysis. Our betting tips: given Tel Bani Swaif’s weak defense (12 goals conceded in 5 matches) and Misr Lel Makasa’s capability to score, a home win or draw double chance looks solid. Alternatively, an under 2.5 goals bet might be worth considering, as many recent matches for both teams have been low-scoring except for blowouts.