Mlada Boleslav - Bohemians Praha 1905 prediction 28 October 2026

This Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians Praha 1905 prediction looks ahead to the Cup match on Oct 28 at 13:30. Based on head-to-head data, recent form, and available odds, Mlada Boleslav enters as the favorite with an estimated 46% win probability, while Bohemians Praha 1905 has a 27% chance.

Team Form

Mlada Boleslav's recent form shows inconsistency. Their last five matches across all competitions read as D, W, L, L, W. Most recently, on Oct 24, they secured a 1-1 draw away at Slavia Praha. Prior to that, a 1-0 home win against Teplice was followed by a 1-0 loss at Bohemians Praha 1905 and a heavy 3-0 defeat at Viktoria Plzen. They did, however, beat FK Pribram 3-1 in a friendly on Oct 2.

Bohemians Praha 1905 arrive in better shape. Their last five results are D, W, W, W, D. On Oct 24, they played out a 2-2 draw at Zbrojovka Brno. That came after a 1-0 home win over Mlada Boleslav and another 1-0 home victory against Banik Ostrava. A dominant 5-0 cup win at Vsetin on Sep 30 and a 0-0 friendly draw with Bohemians Dublin complete the sequence, showing solid defensive and offensive balance.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head between these two sides is remarkably tight. In 34 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav has 11 wins and Bohemians Praha 1905 has 10, with 13 matches ending in a draw. The last five encounters have all resulted in draws or narrow wins for Bohemians, with four draws and one Bohemians victory. Most recently, on Oct 14, Bohemians Praha 1905 beat Mlada Boleslav 1-0 at home in the 1. Liga.

League Table Positions

Both teams are currently competing in the 1. Liga and the Cup, though specific league table positions, points, and gaps are not available in the provided data for this Cup fixture. Their recent cup form shows Bohemians with an emphatic 5-0 away win, while Mlada Boleslav's last cup result is not present in the recent match list.

Win Probability: Mlada Boleslav or Bohemians Praha 1905?

Using the average of the provided 1X2 odds (1.84 – 2.78 – 3.61) to strip out the bookmaker margin, the initial implied probabilities are approximately 51% for a home win, 34% for a draw, and 26% for an away win. After adjusting for Bohemians Praha 1905's superior recent form (W, W, W, D) and their 1-0 head-to-head win just two weeks ago, the probability shifts toward the visitors and the draw. Our final calculation gives Mlada Boleslav a 46% chance of winning, the draw a 27% chance, and Bohemians Praha 1905 a 27% chance. Mlada Boleslav is the more likely winner, but the stats point to a very competitive match where a draw is a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Mlada Boleslav as the favorite, with average odds of 1.84 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.78, while an away win for Bohemians Praha 1905 sits at 3.61. The Mlada Boleslav vs Bohemians Praha 1905 betting tips point to a tight contest. Based on the stats, a draw or a narrow home win are the most likely match outcomes. Given the recent head-to-head stalemates and Bohemians' form, the value may lie in backing the draw.