MO Bejaia - MO Constantine prediction 18 September 2026

The MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine prediction for September 18, 2026, points to a home win. The match is played in Algeria's Ligue 2 at 15:00. MO Bejaia enters as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while the draw sits at 27% and MO Constantine has a 13% chance.

Team Form

MO Bejaia comes into this match in solid shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws: D, D, W, W, W. In their most recent outing on Sep 11, they drew 0-0 with MO Constantine. Before that, they beat Khroub 1-0 on Apr 21 and won 1-0 away at USM Annaba on May 2.

MO Constantine's recent form is more mixed: D, W, L, L, D. They drew 0-0 with MO Bejaia on Sep 11, lost 5-0 away at MSP Batna on May 2, and lost 1-3 at home to US Chaouia on Apr 21. Their only win in the last five came on May 9, a 3-1 home victory over AB Chelghoum Laid.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors MO Bejaia. Across six recorded meetings, MO Bejaia has 1 win, there have been 5 draws, and MO Constantine has 0 wins. The most recent match on Sep 11, 2026, ended 0-0. MO Bejaia won the previous encounter 2-0 on Feb 27, 2026. The other four meetings all ended level, including a 1-1 draw on Oct 21, 2025, and two 0-0 draws in March 2022.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in Algeria's Ligue 2. MO Bejaia's recent home record and unbeaten run against MO Constantine give them an edge. MO Constantine has struggled on the road, with heavy away defeats in recent months. The gap in consistency between the two sides is reflected in the betting odds and win probability.

Win Probability: MO Bejaia or MO Constantine?

MO Bejaia has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and MO Constantine has a 13% chance. This calculation uses the bookmaker odds as a base: the inverse of the home odds (1.62, 1.45, 1.44) gives MO Bejaia a raw implied probability of 62–69%, while the away odds (5.00, 8.69, 6.50) imply only 12–20% for MO Constantine. After normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin and adjusting for MO Bejaia's stronger form (three wins in five) and a head-to-head record with zero MO Constantine wins, the final probabilities are 60% home win, 27% draw, and 13% away win.

Based on the stats, MO Bejaia is the more likely winner. The home advantage, better recent results, and an unbeaten head-to-head record all point in the same direction.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see MO Bejaia as the clear favorite. The available 1X2 odds are:

• MO Bejaia win: 1.62, 1.45, 1.44
• Draw: 2.05, 3.94, 2.15
• MO Constantine win: 5.00, 8.69, 6.50

Our MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine prediction is a home win. MO Bejaia's consistency, home advantage, and dominance in the head-to-head record make them the safest pick. A draw is the second most likely outcome, while an away win would be a major surprise based on the available data.