Ittihad Tanger - Moghreb Tetouan prediction 2 October 2026
Ittihad Tanger
Moghreb TetouanIttihad Tanger
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CODM Meknes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Wydad Casablanca | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 |  Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Maghreb AS de Fes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Difaa El Jadida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Union Touarga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Wydad Sportif Temara | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 |  FUS de Rabat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 13 |  US Amal Tiznit | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 |  RSB Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Renaissance Zemamra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan Prediction (Oct 2)
The Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction for the Botola clash on Oct 2 at 21:00 sees the home side as the favorite. Based on available stats, Ittihad Tanger has a 40% chance of winning, a draw is 35%, while Moghreb Tetouan has a 25% chance to claim victory. The bookmakers' odds also point toward a tight contest, with home win odds averaging around 2.58.
Team Form
Ittihad Tanger come into this match with strong recent results: four wins and one loss in their last five outings (W,W,W,L,W). Their most recent fixture saw a 3-1 away win at US Amal Tiznit in the Botola, continuing a run of productive performances. Prior friendlies included wins over Wydad Sportif Temara (1-0) and US Yacoub Mansour (3-1), with a lone defeat against CODM Meknes (0-1).
Moghreb Tetouan are unbeaten in their last five (D,W,W,W,D), though they have faced mostly Botola 2 opposition. They opened their Botola campaign with a 0-0 home draw against RSB Berkane. Their last three wins came against Stade Marocain, Racing de Casablanca, and US Amal Tiznit in Botola 2, highlighting a solid defensive foundation.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record shows Ittihad Tanger with 9 home wins, 8 draws, and 5 away wins for Moghreb Tetouan, giving the hosts a historical edge. The last five meetings saw it perfectly balanced: two wins each and a draw. Notably, the most recent encounter in Apr 2025 ended 2-1 to Moghreb Tetouan, but Ittihad Tanger claimed a 2-0 home victory in Feb 2023. This suggests home advantage can be decisive.
League Table Positions
After one matchday, Ittihad Tanger sit 2nd in the Botola table with 3 points (one win, goal difference +2). Moghreb Tetouan are 7th with 1 point (one draw, goal difference 0). The hosts have not yet played a home league fixture, while the visitors are yet to play away โ so early-season form is limited but points clearly to the hosts' winning start.
Win Probability: Ittihad Tanger or Moghreb Tetouan?
Based on the combined evidence, Ittihad Tanger has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Moghreb Tetouan has a 25% chance. This calculation starts from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home 2.58, draw 2.21, away 3.58), which were normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted upward for the home team due to their stronger Botola form, league position, and solid home head-to-head record. The visitors' unbeaten run is respected, but their recent opposition quality and lack of an away league fixture this season temper their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer a range of odds for the 1X2 market: home win prices vary from 2.10 to 2.78, the draw sits between 1.95 and 2.90, and an away win is priced from 3.40 to 3.70. The odds market clearly identifies Ittihad Tanger as the favorite, though the tight draw odds suggest the game could be closer than the raw numbers imply. Taking all stats into account, the safest prediction points to a home win or draw, with the probability edge with the hosts. A 2-1 or 1-0 home victory would align with both the form and H2H data.
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan โ FAQ
- Who will win Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
- Ittihad Tanger are the most likely winners with a 40% chance according to our probability model. The draw has a 35% chance, while Moghreb Tetouan have a 25% chance. This prediction is based on the latest odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings.
- What is the win probability for Ittihad Tanger?
- Ittihad Tanger have a 40% win probability. This takes into account average bookmaker odds of around 2.58 for a home win and adjustments for their strong early Botola form (one win in one game) and historical home advantage in this fixture.
- When is the Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 2, 2026, at 21:00 local time. It is a Botola fixture from Morocco's top division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds show home win prices ranging from 2.10 to 2.78, the draw from 1.95 to 2.90, and an away win from 3.40 to 3.70. The average odds make Ittihad Tanger the favorite, though the market indicates a competitive game.