Fakirapool Young Men's - Mohammedan Dhaka prediction 2 October 2026

Fakirapool Young Men's vs Mohammedan Dhaka prediction: Mohammedan Dhaka are overwhelming favorites to win this Bangladesh Premier League clash on October 2, 2026, at 10:00. Our analysis gives the visitors an 80% win probability, with the draw at 12% and a home win just 8%.

Team Form

Fakirapool Young Men's

Fakirapool Young Men's have struggled recently, with just one win in their last five matches (D, W, L, L, L). Their last five results:

• Sep 22: Fortis 1-1 Fakirapool (D)
• Sep 18: Fakirapool 2-1 Dhaka Wanderers (W)
• May 23: Bashundhara Kings 4-1 Fakirapool (L)
• May 15: Fakirapool 0-1 PWD SC (L)
• May 8: Fakirapool 1-7 Fortis (L)

They have conceded 14 goals in these five games, highlighting a leaky defense.

Mohammedan Dhaka

Mohammedan Dhaka come into this match with three wins from their last five (W, L, L, W, W). Their recent results:

• May 23: Mohammedan Dhaka 5-0 Brothers Union (W)
• May 20: Bashundhara Kings 3-2 Mohammedan Dhaka (L, Federation Cup)
• May 15: Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka 1-0 Mohammedan Dhaka (L)
• May 12: Brothers Union 1-2 Mohammedan Dhaka (W, Federation Cup)
• May 9: Arambagh 0-2 Mohammedan Dhaka (W)

They have scored 11 goals in these five outings, showing strong attacking form.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Mohammedan Dhaka have the upper hand with two wins to Fakirapool Young Men's one. The most recent clash on Apr 17, 2026, saw Mohammedan Dhaka win 3-0 at home. The full H2H:

• Apr 17, 2026: Mohammedan Dhaka 3-0 Fakirapool Young Men's (Premier League)
• Jan 31, 2025: Mohammedan Dhaka 5-2 Fakirapool Young Men's (Federation Cup)
• Jan 24, 2025: Mohammedan Dhaka 0-1 Fakirapool Young Men's (Premier League)

Mohammedan have outscored Fakirapool 8-3 across these three matches.

League Table Positions

Fakirapool Young Men's sit bottom of the Bangladesh Premier League with 10 points from 18 games (2 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses). They have scored only 13 goals and conceded 44. Mohammedan Dhaka are 5th with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses), 13 points ahead. Mohammedan's away form has been mixed: 6th in the away table with 8 points from 9 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), but they face a side that has struggled at home (Fakirapool are not in the top 8 home standings).

Win Probability: Fakirapool Young Men's or Mohammedan Dhaka?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Mohammedan Dhaka have an 80% chance of winning this match. The draw is at 12%, and Fakirapool Young Men's have just an 8% chance of causing an upset. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor Mohammedan (1.12), and their superior form and H2H dominance reinforce this probability. Fakirapool's poor defensive record and lowly league position make a home win highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: Fakirapool Young Men's win 13.00, draw 8.00, Mohammedan Dhaka win 1.12. Bookmakers see Mohammedan Dhaka as the clear favorite. Our prediction: Mohammedan Dhaka to win. With an 80% win probability and a strong recent record against Fakirapool, an away victory is the most likely outcome. A bet on Mohammedan Dhaka offers low odds but high certainty, while a draw or home win would be a major surprise.