Mohammedan Dhaka - PWD SC prediction 20 October 2026

The Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD SC prediction points firmly towards a home victory in this Bangladesh Federation Cup clash on October 20, 2026, at 09:45. Based on our win probability model, Mohammedan Dhaka has a 68% chance of winning, the draw sits at 23%, and PWD SC has just a 9% chance. Mohammedan Dhaka enters this match in devastating form and with a perfect head-to-head record.

Team Form

Mohammedan Dhaka's recent form is flawless. They have won their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent result was a dominant 2-0 away victory against this same PWD SC side in the Premier League on October 16. Prior to that, they crushed Arambagh 6-0 at home, beat Arambagh again 3-1 in the Federation Cup, won 1-0 away at Fakirapool Young Men's, and thrashed Brothers Union 5-0 back in May. They have scored 17 goals in these five games, conceding only one.

PWD SC's form is the opposite. They have not won in their last five matches, recording four draws and one defeat. The loss was the recent 2-0 defeat to Mohammedan Dhaka. Their other four results were all draws: 1-1 away at Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka, 1-1 at home to Brothers Union, a 0-0 home stalemate with Abahani Limited Dhaka, and a 2-2 draw at home against Fortis. They are struggling to convert draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

Mohammedan Dhaka has a 100% winning record in head-to-head matches against PWD SC. In the three recorded meetings, Mohammedan Dhaka have won all three, scoring nine goals and conceding just one. The most recent meeting was just four days ago, on October 16, when Mohammedan Dhaka won 2-0 away. The trend is clear: Mohammedan Dhaka dominates this fixture completely.

League Table Positions

While specific league table points are not provided in the data, the form and head-to-head records strongly suggest Mohammedan Dhaka sits well above PWD SC in the Bangladesh football hierarchy. Mohammedan Dhaka's relentless winning streak indicates they are title contenders, while PWD SC's long run of draws suggests a mid-to-lower table position, struggling for victories.

Win Probability: Mohammedan Dhaka or PWD SC?

Mohammedan Dhaka has a 68% chance of winning this match, the draw is at 23%, and PWD SC has a 9% chance. This calculation is based primarily on the available bookmaker odds, which were averaged to find an implied probability. The home team is heavily favored with odds averaging around 1.43. We then adjusted these figures to reflect Mohammedan Dhaka's five-match winning streak and a perfect 3-0 head-to-head record, including a 2-0 victory just days ago. PWD SC's poor form, consisting of four draws and a loss, heavily reduces their chances. The only factor slightly boosting the draw and PWD SC's miniscule chance is the potential for complacency, but the form gap is enormous.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Mohammedan Dhaka as the overwhelming favorite for this match. The best available 1X2 odds show a home win priced between 1.40 and 1.47. The draw is offered at odds from 2.30 to 4.03, while an away win for PWD SC ranges from 5.50 to 6.56. Based on the stats, form, and Mohammedan Dhaka vs PWD SC betting tips, a home win is the only logical prediction. The recent 2-0 result suggests a comfortable victory, likely with a clean sheet for Mohammedan Dhaka.