Mohun Bagan Super Giants - Chennaiyin FC prediction 26 October 2026

Get the best Mohun Bagan Super Giants vs Chennaiyin FC prediction ahead of this Indian Super League match on Oct 26 at 14:00. Based on the recent form and head-to-head record, Mohun Bagan Super Giants are clear favorites with a win probability of approximately 55%. This betting preview covers team form, H2H stats, league table positions, win probability, odds, and our final match prediction.

Team Form

Mohun Bagan Super Giants come into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five outings: W, L, W, D, D. Their most recent match was an away win against Sporting Club Delhi (2-1) on Oct 16. Before that, they suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Northeast United on Oct 12. At home, they have recorded two draws and a win in their last three matches.

Chennaiyin FC are struggling for form, with results of L, D, L, L, L in their last five matches. They lost 2-0 away to Bengaluru FC on Oct 17. Their only point in this stretch came from a 1-1 draw away to FC Goa on Oct 10. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, losing four.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides heavily favors the hosts. In their 9 previous meetings, Mohun Bagan Super Giants have won 4, Chennaiyin FC have won 2, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent encounter was on Feb 23, 2026, when Mohun Bagan Super Giants won 2-0 at home. In the last five H2H matches, Mohun Bagan have won three, with one draw and one Chennaiyin win.

League Table Positions

Looking at the current Super League standings, Mohun Bagan Super Giants sit in 6th place with 3 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 2 goals and conceding 2. Chennaiyin FC are in 11th place with just 1 point from 2 matches (1 draw, 1 loss), having scored 1 goal and conceded 3. Chennaiyin are in the relegation zone in terms of form and points, while Mohun Bagan are mid-table with a game in hand on many teams above them.

Win Probability: Mohun Bagan Super Giants or Chennaiyin FC?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are as follows: Mohun Bagan Super Giants have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Chennaiyin FC have a 19% chance. This calculation uses the available bookmaker odds as a base (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and is adjusted for team form and head-to-head dominance. Mohun Bagan's superior H2H record (4 wins in the last 9) and Chennaiyin's terrible recent form (four losses in five) heavily skew the probabilities towards a home win. The 55% figure reflects Mohun Bagan's home advantage and Chennaiyin's scoring struggles on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have made their stance clear with the available odds. The best home win odds for Mohun Bagan Super Giants are as low as 1.25, with the draw at 5.55 and an away win for Chennaiyin FC as high as 12.11. This massive gap indicates the market sees a very high chance of a home victory.

Based on the stats, head-to-head record, and current form, our Mohun Bagan Super Giants vs Chennaiyin FC prediction is a home win. Chennaiyin's form is simply too poor to ignore, and Mohun Bagan have had their number in recent meetings. The most likely correct score is 2-0 to the home side, mirroring the result from their last encounter.