Sporting Club Delhi - Mohun Bagan Super Giants prediction 16 October 2026

The Sporting Club Delhi vs Mohun Bagan Super Giants prediction arrives for a Super League clash on October 16, 2026. Kick-off is at 15:00 in India’s top flight, and the numbers point firmly towards the away side – Mohun Bagan Super Giants hold a 60% win probability, leaving Sporting Club Delhi at 12% and the draw at 28% according to our analysis.

Team Form

Sporting Club Delhi are struggling for results. Their last five outings in all competitions show two draws and three defeats. They failed to score in three of those games and have managed just one win in their last nine league matches.

Sporting Club Delhi last 5

• Oct 10: Bengaluru FC 3–2 Sporting Club Delhi (L)
• May 21: Mohun Bagan 2–1 Sporting Club Delhi (L)
• May 17: Sporting Club Delhi 0–0 Inter Kashi (D)
• May 8: Sporting Club Delhi 1–2 Odisha FC (L)
• May 2: Sporting Club Delhi 0–0 Punjab FC (D)

Mohun Bagan Super Giants, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five with two wins and three draws. Their defence has been particularly solid, conceding only two goals in that run.

Mohun Bagan Super Giants last 5

• May 21: Mohun Bagan 2–1 Sporting Club Delhi (W)
• May 17: Mohun Bagan 1–1 East Bengal (D)
• May 12: Mohun Bagan 0–0 Inter Kashi (D)
• May 9: FC Goa 1–1 Mohun Bagan (D)
• Apr 19: Northeast United 0–1 Mohun Bagan (W)

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record heavily favours Mohun Bagan. In 18 previous meetings, Sporting Club Delhi have won only twice, there have been six draws, and Mohun Bagan have claimed 10 victories. The last five encounters all went to the side from Kolkata, including a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture on May 21, 2026.

• May 21, 2026: Mohun Bagan 2–1 Sporting Club Delhi (Super League)
• Jan 2, 2025: Mohun Bagan 3–0 Sporting Club Delhi (Super League)
• Oct 30, 2024: Sporting Club Delhi 0–2 Mohun Bagan (Super League)
• Feb 10, 2024: Mohun Bagan 2–0 Sporting Club Delhi (Super League)
• Jan 14, 2024: Mohun Bagan 2–1 Sporting Club Delhi (Cup)

League Table Positions

The standings underline the gulf between the sides. Mohun Bagan Super Giants sit 2nd in the Super League with 26 points from 13 games (7 wins, 5 draws, 1 defeat), while Sporting Club Delhi are way down in 11th with only 11 points (2 wins, 5 draws, 6 defeats). Delhi have been decent at home – losing just once in six outings – but their form has nosedived. Mohun Bagan’s away record (1 win, 3 draws, 0 losses) points to a team that is hard to beat on the road.

Win Probability: Sporting Club Delhi or Mohun Bagan Super Giants?

We calculated the outcome chances by starting from the bookmakers’ odds (inverse implied probabilities normalised to remove the margin), and then adjusting for form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home advantage. The result:

• Sporting Club Delhi win – 12%
• Draw – 28%
• Mohun Bagan Super Giants win – 60%

Mohun Bagan’s superior quality in every category makes them the clear favourite. Delhi’s only real lifeline is their home form, but that hasn’t been enough to stop defeats against better-class opposition.

Odds & Match Prediction

Leading bookmakers have Mohun Bagan Super Giants as strong favourites. One representative set of odds shows a home win at 7.50, a draw at 2.40, and an away win at 1.77. Other bookies are in a similar range. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away victory. A betting tip that reflects the data is to back Mohun Bagan to win, but the odds are short. The draw at 2.40 could offer value for those who note Delhi’s stubbornness on their own patch.