Moknine - US Ksour Essef prediction 27 October 2026
Moknine
US Ksour Essef
Kalaa SportMoknineStade GabesienMoknineMoknineCS RedeyefMoknineAS ArianaMoknineUS Ksour EssefMoknineStade GabesienMokninePS Sakiet EddayerKasserineMoknineMoknineKalaa SportMoknineCS KorbaMoknineCS KorbaEGS GafsaMoknineMoknineBouchammaCO Sidi BouzidMoknineMoknineSfax RailwaysUS Ksour EssefAS ArianaJS KairouanaiseUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefOlympique de MedenineMahdiaUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefStade SoussienKasserineUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefKalaa SportMoknineUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefEGS GafsaBouchammaUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefCO Sidi BouzidAS ArianaUS Ksour EssefBouhajlaUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefJendouba SportCS KorbaUS Ksour EssefMoknineUS Ksour EssefUS Ksour EssefMoknine| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kasserine | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 |  Msaken | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 |  Mahdia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 |  AS Megrine | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Bouchamma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  CS Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  AS Slimane | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Sporting Ben Arous | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | US Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Stade Soussien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Chebba | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  US Tataouine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  CS Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kalaa Sport | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Sfax Railways | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 |  JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |  Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 19 |  Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 20 |  Bรฉni-Khalled | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 21 |  Bouhajla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  OC Kerkennah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 24 |  EGS Gafsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Agareb | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AS Gabes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 27 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
| 28 |  Olympique de Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Moknine vs US Ksour Essef Prediction (Oct 27)
Looking for a Moknine vs US Ksour Essef prediction? This Tunisia League 2 match is set for October 27, 2026, with a 13:30 kick-off. Based on available odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, US Ksour Essef come into the game as the narrow favourite, but the draw also carries significant probability. Our win probability model gives Moknine a 23% chance, the draw 38%, and US Ksour Essef a 39% chance of winning.
Team Form
Moknine have struggled to find consistency in their recent outings. Their last five results across all competitions read L, D, L, D, W. The lone victory came back in April against this same opponent (2-1 at home). Since then, they have suffered a 3-0 away loss to Kalaa Sport, a goalless draw at Stade Gabesien, a 0-3 home defeat to CS Redeyef, and a 0-0 home stalemate with AS Ariana. Scoring has been a clear issue, with just one goal in the last four matches.
US Ksour Essef are in far better shape. Their last five results stand at D, W, W, L, W. The only defeat came in a friendly, while in official League 2 action they remain unbeaten: a 0-0 draw with AS Ariana, a 1-0 away win at JS Kairouanaise, and a 1-0 home victory over Olympique de Medenine. The defence has been particularly impressive, keeping clean sheets in all three of those league matches.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met only twice in recent League 2 history. Moknine claimed a 2-1 home win on April 28, 2026, while US Ksour Essef won 4-2 at home on November 30, 2025. One win apiece, with both teams scoring in each encounter. The small sample size offers no clear advantage, but it does hint that goals could appear again.
League Table Positions
Based on the available standings, US Ksour Essef sit 9th in the League 2 table with 8 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 2 goals scored, 0 conceded). They are one of the division's unbeaten sides and have the joint-best defensive record. Moknine do not appear in the top 12 of the standings, indicating they are lower in the pecking order and have yet to find a rhythm this season.
Win Probability: Moknine or US Ksour Essef?
Using the average bookmaker odds as a base (home 4.25, draw 2.55, away 2.15), the inverse implied probabilities were calculated and normalized to remove the margin. The raw figures gave US Ksour Essef a clear edge. Adjusting for current form, league positions, and the head-to-head record โ which includes a recent Moknine home win โ the final win probabilities are:
- Moknine win: 23%
- Draw: 38%
- US Ksour Essef win: 39%
The visitors have the highest chance, but the draw is almost equally likely. Moknine's home advantage and the memory of their April success keep them within touching distance, yet their poor scoring form and low league standing drag their probability down.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds for this fixture vary across the market. Observed prices show a home win for Moknine between 3.85 and 4.75, the draw from 2.00 to 3.10, and an away victory for US Ksour Essef priced between 1.83 and 2.50. The market consistently rates the away side as the favourite, with the draw attracting significant support as well.
Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a US Ksour Essef win or a draw. Given the visitorsโ defensive solidity and unbeaten league run, a low-scoring away victory looks a realistic pick. However, the high draw probability should not be overlooked, and a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline cannot be ruled out.
Moknine vs US Ksour Essef โ FAQ
- Who will win Moknine vs US Ksour Essef?
- Based on our win probability model, US Ksour Essef have a 39% chance of winning, Moknine a 23% chance, and the draw sits at 38%. While US Ksour Essef are the slight favourites, the match is expected to be closely contested and a draw is a very real possibility.
- What is the win probability for US Ksour Essef?
- US Ksour Essef hold a 39% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds, the teamโs unbeaten league form, solid defensive record (zero goals conceded in their last three league games), and a higher league position compared to Moknine.
- When is the Moknine vs US Ksour Essef match?
- The match is scheduled for October 27, 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 local time. It is a Tunisia League 2 fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- According to available bookmakers, odds for a Moknine home win range from 3.85 to 4.75, the draw is priced between 2.00 and 3.10, and a US Ksour Essef away victory can be found between 1.83 and 2.50. The away side is consistently the favourite across all provided odds.