MOL Fehervar FC - Szentlorinc SE prediction 10 October 2026

The MOL Fehervar FC vs Szentlorinc SE prediction for their NB II clash on October 10, 2026, at 16:00 points towards a tight contest where the hosts hold a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, MOL Fehervar FC has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Szentlorinc SE has a 30% chance. Bookmakers also see this as an open match, with odds reflecting little to separate the two sides.

Team Form

MOL Fehervar FC's recent form is a concern, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win in that run came at home against Diosgyori VTK (2-1) on September 7. Defeats to Nagykanizsai TE (0-1), Diosgyori VTK in the Cup (1-4), Karcag (1-2), and Mezokovesd-Zsory (1-2) highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

Szentlorinc SE's form is slightly better, with two wins and three losses in their last five (W, W, L, L, L). They secured home victories over Bvsc-Zuglo (2-1) and a Cup win at Gyulai Termal (0-1). However, away losses at Tiszakecske FC (0-2) and Soroksar SC (2-3), plus a home defeat to FC Ajka (0-1), show inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is perfectly balanced. In three previous meetings, each side has one win, with one draw. Their most recent encounter on May 10, 2026, saw Szentlorinc SE win 2-1 at home. Before that, MOL Fehervar FC drew 0-0 at home in the league and won 3-0 at home in the Cup, both in 2025.

League Table Positions

In the NB II standings, Szentlorinc SE sits 9th with 10 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). MOL Fehervar FC is just behind in 10th place with 9 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses). The home table shows MOL Fehervar FC in 8th with 9 points from 4 home games, while Szentlorinc SE is 6th in the away table with 4 points from 2 away games. The gap is minimal, with both teams separated by just one point overall.

Win Probability: MOL Fehervar FC or Szentlorinc SE?

Our calculated win probability gives MOL Fehervar FC a 38% chance of winning, a draw at 32%, and Szentlorinc SE a 30% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.20, draw 2.12, away 4.85) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for recent form and head-to-head balance. MOL Fehervar FC's strong home record (3 wins in 4) is offset by their poor overall form, while Szentlorinc SE's away form is mediocre. The balanced H2H record and close league positions support a near-equal probability, with a slight home advantage tipping the scale toward MOL Fehervar FC.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. The best available odds are 2.20 for a MOL Fehervar FC win, 2.12 for a draw, and 4.85 for a Szentlorinc SE victory. Other bookmakers quote odds as low as 1.67 for the home win and as high as 5.00 for the away win. Based on the stats, this is a difficult match to call, but the value might lie in the draw, given the teams' recent struggles to secure wins and their evenly matched history. MOL Fehervar FC is the marginal favorite, but a draw seems a very realistic outcome.