Ranheim II - Molde 2 prediction 12 October 2026

Ranheim II vs Molde 2 prediction: the Norwegian 3rd Division clash on October 12, 2026, at 16:45 sees home side Ranheim II as the narrow favorite with a 46% win probability. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Molde 2 holding a 28% chance of an away victory and the draw rated at 26%.

Team Form

Ranheim II's last five results: W, L, L, L, W. Here's a closer look:

• Oct 4: Spjelkavik 2-5 Ranheim II (Win)
• Sep 26: Ranheim II 1-3 Volda (Loss)
• Sep 21: Nardo FK 4-1 Ranheim II (Loss)
• Sep 13: Ranheim II 1-4 Byasen (Loss)
• Sep 7: Kvik Trondheim 0-7 Ranheim II (Win)

Ranheim II have been inconsistent, with two big away wins but three defeats where they conceded 11 goals. Their home form is a particular worry, having lost their last two at home by a combined score of 2-7.

Molde 2's last five: W, L, W, D, W:

• Oct 2: Molde 2 6-2 Herd (Win)
• Sep 26: Strindheim 10-0 Molde 2 (Loss)
• Sep 20: Molde 2 1-0 Melhus (Win)
• Sep 12: NTNUI 4-4 Molde 2 (Draw)
• Sep 7: Molde 2 3-2 Aalesund FK 2 (Win)

Molde 2 have been more reliable, winning three of their last five, all at home. Their away form is mixed: a heavy 10-0 defeat at Strindheim but a 4-4 draw at NTNUI. They have scored in four of those five matches, showing attacking threat.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have been evenly contested, with one win apiece and one draw. The most recent encounter on April 13, 2026, ended in a thrilling 5-5 draw. Prior to that, Ranheim II thrashed Molde 2 7-2 at home in October 2025, while Molde 2 won 3-1 away back in September 2021. Goals are almost guaranteed when these two meet, with 23 goals scored across those three matches.

Win Probability: Ranheim II or Molde 2?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Ranheim II win: 46%
• Draw: 26%
• Molde 2 win: 28%

The bookmakers' average odds imply a home win probability of around 49%, but we have adjusted this downward slightly due to Ranheim II's poor home form (two consecutive home losses) and Molde 2's stronger overall recent results. Home advantage still gives Ranheim II the edge, but it is a narrow one. Molde 2's chances are boosted by their ability to find the net, though their defensive vulnerabilities on the road keep them as the second favorite. The draw is a realistic outcome given the last H2H ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Ranheim II as the clear favorite, with average odds of 1.82 for a home win. The draw is available at around 3.43, while an away win for Molde 2 is offered at 3.60. These odds reflect the home advantage and the overall market expectation.

Our Ranheim II vs Molde 2 prediction: a home win is the most likely result, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion. Given both teams' recent defensive issues and the history of high-scoring encounters, a bet on over 2.5 goals could also be worth considering. However, based on the stats, Ranheim II have a slightly better chance of securing the three points.