Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction 13 October 2026

Our Montana vs Ludogorets Razgrad II prediction for this B PFG match on Oct 13 at 16:00 is that Montana are the favorites, with a calculated win probability of 52%. The hosts will look to end a poor run of form against a Ludogorets Razgrad II side that has been hard to beat on the road.

Team Form

Montana are in terrible form heading into this fixture. Their last five matches in all competitions have resulted in one draw and four losses. They have suffered heavy defeats, including a 5-0 home loss to Hebar Pazardzhik and a 4-0 away loss to CSKA Sofia II. In their most recent outing, they managed a 0-0 draw away at Bdin Vidin in the Cup.

Ludogorets Razgrad II have been more resilient, with a recent record of one win, three draws, and one loss. Their last five matches show a 3-0 away win at Pirin Blagoevgrad, followed by three consecutive draws against Fratia, Etar Veliko Tarnovo, and Dunav Ruse, and a narrow 1-0 loss at Spartak Pleven. The visitors have been difficult to defeat lately.

Head-to-Head Record

Montana hold a clear advantage in the head-to-head record against Ludogorets Razgrad II. In their 12 previous meetings, Montana have won 7, Ludogorets Razgrad II have won 4, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter, on Apr 12, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. Before that, Montana won 3-2 at home in August 2023, while Ludogorets Razgrad II secured a 2-1 home victory in February 2024.

League Table Positions

Neither team features in the top 12 of the overall B PFG standings provided. Montana are absent from the overall table, indicating a very low position. Ludogorets Razgrad II are also missing from the overall top 12 but appear 7th in the away standings with 7 points from 6 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 5 and conceding 5. This suggests they are a mid-table side on their travels, while Montana's poor form likely places them near the bottom.

Win Probability: Montana or Ludogorets Razgrad II?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head record, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Montana has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Ludogorets Razgrad II has a 20% chance. The odds heavily favor a home win, and despite Montana's dreadful recent form, their strong historical dominance in this fixture and home advantage make them the more likely winner. The visitors' recent draws suggest they can be stubborn, but their low win probability reflects a lack of cutting edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Montana as the clear favorite. The available 1X2 odds show a best home win price of 1.60, a draw at 2.25, and an away win at 4.50. These odds imply a strong probability for a home victory. Our prediction is a home win for Montana, based on the stats and their superior head-to-head record, but given their current form, a low-scoring match is expected.