Montaneses - Tapachula Soconusco FC prediction 11 October 2026
Montaneses
Tapachula Soconusco FCMontaneses
Lobos ULMXChapulinerosMontanesesMontanesesTapachula Soconusco FCPioneros de CancunMontanesesMontanesesInter Playa del CarmenCelaya CFMontanesesMontanesesRacing De VeracruzJaguares de ChiapasMontanesesMontanesesDeportiva VenadosHeroes de Zaci FCMontanesesMontanesesCelaya CFChapulinerosMontanesesMontanesesRacing De VeracruzTapachula Soconusco FCMontanesesMontanesesDeportiva VenadosTapachula Soconusco FCPurepechasTapachula Soconusco FCDeportiva VenadosMontanesesTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCChapulinerosPioneros de CancunTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCInter Playa del CarmenCelaya CFTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCRacing De VeracruzTapachula Soconusco FCTritones VallartaTritones VallartaTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCMexicali FCCanoneros MarinaTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCPioneros de CancunJaguares de ChiapasTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCMontanesesMontanesesTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCMontanesesMontanesesTapachula Soconusco FCMontanesesTapachula Soconusco FCTapachula Soconusco FCMontaneses| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Irapuato | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Racing De Veracruz | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:7 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 |  Pioneros de Cancun | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 |  Celaya CF | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 |  Reboceros de La Piedad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Tigres de Alica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Jaguares de Chiapas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Deportiva Venados | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Atletico Zacatepec | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Chapulineros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lobos ULMX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Los Cabos United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Montaneses | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cordobes FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Tapachula Soconusco FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Purepechas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Inter Playa del Carmen | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Tritones Vallarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC Prediction (Oct 11)
This Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC prediction focuses on the Liga Premier Serie B match on October 11, 2026 at 19:00. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, league standings and odds, Montaneses emerge as the favourite with a 55% win probability.
Team Form
Montaneses approach this fixture with a recent run of L-W-L-L-D from their last five matches. Their only win in that sequence was a 3-2 home success against Inter Playa del Carmen on Sep 27, but three defeats and a draw underline defensive issues โ they have conceded 12 goals in six league outings while scoring 10.
Tapachula Soconusco FC's form is even more alarming. Their last five results read L-L-W-L-L, with the solitary win coming at home โ a 2-0 victory over Inter Playa del Carmen on Sep 13. Away from home, they suffered heavy losses at Pioneros de Cancun (5-1) and Celaya CF (2-0), showing clear vulnerability on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other four times. Montaneses hold a strong advantage with three wins, while Tapachula Soconusco FC have claimed one victory. The most recent meeting on Mar 10, 2026 ended 3-1 in Tapachulaโs favour, but Montaneses won the previous three, including a 2-0 home win (Oct 2025) and a 4-1 home triumph (Oct 2024). The head-to-head data heavily favours the home side.
League Table Positions
Montaneses sit 10th in the Liga Premier Serie B standings with 7 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). At home, they rank 8th with a record of one win, one draw and one loss from three games. Tapachula Soconusco FC are not present in the available league table, which implies they may be positioned even lower. This further strengthens Montanesesโ standing ahead of the match.
Win Probability: Montaneses or Tapachula Soconusco FC?
From the pre-match odds (home 1.83, draw 3.60, away 3.40), removing the bookmaker margin gives Montaneses an implied chance of around 49%, the draw 25% and Tapachula 26%. Adjusting for current form, the dominant head-to-head record and home advantage, our calculated probabilities are: Montaneses has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Tapachula Soconusco FC has a 20% chance. The statistical weight clearly points to a home win.
Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC Prediction & Odds
The odds see Montaneses as clear favourites at 1.83; a draw is priced at 3.60, and an away victory at 3.40. Considering the home teamโs superior head-to-head record, the visitorsโ poor away form and the league table picture, the Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC prediction is a home win. With a 55% win probability, backing Montaneses to take the three points appears the strongest betting tip.
Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC?
- Montaneses has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Tapachula Soconusco FC has a 20% chance. Based on head-to-head superiority, home advantage and recent form, Montaneses are the most likely winners.
- What is the win probability for Montaneses?
- Montaneses holds a 55% win probability. This reflects their three wins in four previous meetings with Tapachula Soconusco FC, the advantage of playing at home, and the visitorsโ poor current form.
- When is the Montaneses vs Tapachula Soconusco FC match?
- The match is scheduled for October 11, 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 local time. It is a Liga Premier Serie B fixture in Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Montaneses win at 1.83, a draw at 3.60, and Tapachula Soconusco FC win at 3.40.
- What is the head-to-head record between Montaneses and Tapachula Soconusco FC?
- In four encounters, Montaneses have won three matches and Tapachula Soconusco FC have won one. The most recent fixture (March 2026) ended in a 3-1 away win for Tapachula, but Montaneses dominated the previous three meetings.