Puebla Women - Monterrey Women prediction 27 September 2026

The Puebla Women vs Monterrey Women prediction for September 27, 2026, in Liga MX Women points to a dominant away victory. Monterrey Women are overwhelming favorites with an 82% win probability, while Puebla Women have just a 3% chance of causing an upset. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time.

Team Form

Puebla Women have struggled badly, losing four of their last five matches. Their only win in that run was a 4-1 home victory over Club Necaxa Women on August 30. Defeats include a 0-2 loss at Unam Pumas Women, a 2-6 home thrashing by Queretaro Women, a 2-5 loss at Club Leon Women, and a 2-5 home loss to Atletico San Luis Women. They have conceded 19 goals in those five games, an average of 3.8 per match, highlighting serious defensive issues.

Monterrey Women, in contrast, have been in superb form with four wins from their last five outings. They demolished Club Necaxa Women 10-0 at home, won 3-2 at Chivas Guadalajara Women, beat Toluca Women 5-1 at home, and cruised 4-0 at Queretaro Women. Their only recent slip was a 2-3 home loss to Club Leon Women. Monterrey have scored 24 goals in those five matches, showcasing a fearsome attack that will likely overwhelm Puebla's fragile backline.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Monterrey Women have won all three previous meetings, scoring 14 goals and conceding just one. The results:

• Jan 5, 2026: Monterrey Women 4-0 Puebla Women
• Aug 3, 2025: Puebla Women 0-5 Monterrey Women
• Jan 20, 2025: Monterrey Women 5-1 Puebla Women

Puebla Women have never even managed a draw against Monterrey, and the goal difference underlines the gulf in class. The last two encounters saw Monterrey score four or more goals, a trend that could continue.

League Table Positions

Monterrey Women sit 2nd in the Liga MX Women table with 21 points from 8 matches (7 wins, 1 loss). They have the best away record in the league, winning all 4 away games with 13 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Puebla Women are outside the top 12, with their overall record not even listed among the leading teams. The gap in quality is enormous, and even home advantage is unlikely to bridge it.

Win Probability: Puebla Women or Monterrey Women?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions, Monterrey Women have an 82% chance of winning this match. A draw is given a 15% probability, while Puebla Women's chances of a home victory are just 3%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin) and strongly supported by the on-field data. Monterrey Women are clearly the team most likely to take all three points, and the probability of a Puebla win is extremely remote.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Monterrey Women as massive favorites. The odds for a Puebla Women home win are 34.00, a draw is 6.00, and an away win for Monterrey Women is just 1.13. These odds reflect the huge disparity between the sides. Our prediction, based on all available stats, is a comfortable Monterrey Women victory, likely with a margin of several goals. Given Puebla's defensive frailties and Monterrey's attacking firepower, a high-scoring away win is the most probable outcome.